Coastal Carolina finally lost, dropping their ranked status to #24. Honestly, Coastal Carolina could have gone undefeated, and they would not have made the college football playoffs. Instead, the loss prevented them from having a perfect regular season, and they will get a bowl that is not as good. When a team drops a game at this point in the year, it can mean a couple of things. They will start a downward spiral, or they will bounce back and have a big game. Let us take a peek into this matchup with Coastal coming off their loss.
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Details
Overview
Coastal Carolina is an explosive offense. They are scoring 45 points per game. Coastal Carolina is efficient, and Grayson McCall has a 77.3% completion rating this year. Coastal can score points with their running game and their passing game. That is important because last week, they weren’t able to get their running game going. That is a big reason they lost to Appalachian State. This week they are playing a Troy defense that has given up some plays against the run. Coastal will be back to its high-scoring game.
Troy is averaging 23 points per game. They aren’t as good on offense as Coastal. However, they have been able to find the endzone consistently each week. That is going to be critical in this game. Coastal is going to score points, but they will need help from Troy to get over 52.5. Coastal has a decent defense, but Troy will have opportunities to find the endzone. We need Troy to score 14-21 points to hit them over, and this gives a chance to do that.
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Bottom Line
Troy is averaging 23 points per game. Coastal Carolina is averaging 45 points per game. Together they are averaging 68 points per game. Appalachian State was able to beat Coastal by stopping their run game. Troy doesn’t have a run defense good enough to stop Coastal. There is a chance Coastal comes out and covers the total themselves in this game. Considering, the lowest total scoring game that Coastal has had this year is 53. That looks like a great grab. Taking the over for the value play this week.
Pick: Total Over 52.5 (-110)
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