Just the Stats: No. 11 Penn State vs Northwestern

    NCAAF -  

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    No. 11/12 Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-0; 1-0 Big Ten East) vs Northwestern Wildcats (1-3; 1-0 Big Ten West)


    3:30 p.m. ET, October 1, 2022—ESPN


    Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579 / University Park, PA)


    Tableizer using codebeautify.org
    Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Northwestern Advantage
    Rushing Offense (ypg) 185.8 (T - 43) 160.8 (91) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
    Passing Offense (ypg) 278.8 (36) 229.5 (74) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
    Pass Efficiency 150.8 (47) 130.26 (70) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
    Total Offense (ypg) 464.5 (33) 390.2 (82) Total Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
    Scoring Offense (ppg) 38.8 (T - 29) 26.75 (T - 81) Scoring Defense (ppg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Rushing Defense (ypg) 91.8 (21) 141.0 (T - 87) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Passing Defense (ypg) 275.0 (112) 304.8 (20) Passing Offense (ypg) Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium
    Pass Efficiency Defense 102.96 (13) 123.73 (100) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Total Defense (ypg) 366.8 (64) 445.8 (49) Total Offense (ypg) Push
    Scoring Defense (ppg) 16.75 (T - 23) 23.0 (T - 104) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Punt Return Defense (ypr) 5.8 (T - 60) 3.33 (T - 116) Punt Return Yds (ypr) new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Punt Return Yds (ypr) 7.44 (75) 1.0 (23) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium
    Net Punting Yds (ypp) 43.33 (T - 11) 38.22 (84) Net Punting Yds (ypp) new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) 19.44 (T - 83) 19.3 (59) Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) Push
    Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) 17.07 (23) 21.5 (T - 56) Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) new PSU logo
    Turnover Margin (season) +2.0 (4) -1.25 (121) Turnover Margin (season) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Passes Had Intercepted (season) 1 (T - 9) 4 (T - 39) Passes Intercepted (season) new PSU logo
    Passes Intercepted (season) 4 (T - 39) 3 (T - 63) Passes Had Intercepted (season) Push
    Penalty Yds/Game 54.0 (T - 55) 55.75 (T - 61) Penalty Yds/Game Push
    Sacks (spg) 3.0 (T - 19) 1.25 (T - 36) Sacks Allowed (spg) Push
    Sacks Allowed (spg) 1.75 (T - 56) 2.25 (T - 51) Sacks (spg) Push
    Tackles for Loss (tpg) 5.5 (T - 72) 4.25 (T - 32) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium
    Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 4.75 (T - 40) 5.2 (T -78) Tackles for Loss (tpg) new PSU logo
    Redzone Offense (% season) 94.1% (T - 23) 80.0% (T - 44) Redzone Defense (% season) Push
    Redzone Defense (% season) 71.4% (T - 20) 81.2% (T - 83) Redzone Offense (% season) new PSU logo new PSU logo
    Redzone TD % (season) 82.35% 66.67% Redzone TD % Defense (season) new PSU logo
    Redzone TD % Defense (season) 42.86% 62.5% Redzone TD % (season) new PSU logo
    3rd Down Conv. % (season) 36.0% (87) 40.4% (89) 3rd Down Defense % (season) Push
    3rd Down Defense % (season) 31.1% (37) 36.8% (82) 3rd Down Conv. % (season) new PSU logo
    4th Down Conv. % (season) 55.6% (T - 58) 100% (T - 130) 4th Down Defense % (season) new PSU logo new PSU logo
    4th Down Defense % (season) 63.6% (T - 101) 71.4% (T - 22) 4th Down Conv. % Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium
    1st Downs 91 (T - 54) 79 (T - 68) 1st Downs Allowed Push
    1st Downs Allowed 85 (T - 84) 95 (T - 43) 1st Downs Logo-northwestern-wildcats-575x575.s600x600_medium
    Time of Possession 30 (54) 31 (44) Time of Possession Push
    Strength of Schedule 32 29 Strength of Schedule Push

    Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

    Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

    Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

    Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

    Note:

    All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Sports Illustrated.

    The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

    Quick thoughts:

    Penn State’s offense should just go for it on every fourth down. And, if that differential between pass defense and scoring defense (and turnover margin) doesn’t scream Manny Diaz’s high risk, high reward defensive style, I don’t know what would.

    This is the first time we’re publishing this this season, and so far, Penn State has vastly improved on most of the metrics compared to last season - and has already played a tougher schedule than many in the country. This is definitely the mark of a good team getting better by the week.