Top MLB Parlay Odds & Picks for Monday, May 16 (2022)

May 16, 2022 - 1:02 PM

We enter a new week in baseball, and we have some exciting series to take a look at. We’re featuring the league’s top brass as we have a division leader in all three and in one divisional matchup in what looks to be more competitive than what we initially thought.

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel)

New York Yankees (-200) vs. Baltimore Orioles (+184) O/U 8.5

(First Pitch 7:05 p.m. ET)

The Yankees continue to be one of the better teams in baseball as they took three of the four against the White Sox thanks to power-hitting in the first two games, then power pitching from Nestor Cortez to cap it off.

On the mound will be Luis Severino, who’s pitching well in return as a full-time starter in the last two years. While he’s only credited with two wins, the Yankees are 5-0 when he’s on the mound this season. In his previous start against the Orioles, Severino pitched six innings, allowing four runs, but he earned the win thanks to the Yankee offense.

He will go against Kyle Bradish, who’s pitching well since being called up to the team in late April. Even with a short sample, he’s been one of the better pitchers in this rotation with a 1.059 WHIP, 8.5 strikeouts per nine, and 7.9 hits per nine.

Moving the fences back at Camden Yards has contained the Bronx Bomber offense. In the last series back in April, they averaged just two runs per game in the three-game series, while they scored four or more runs in five of the last six games in 2021.

This will be the biggest test in Bradish’s young career, there’s a chance he could pitch well, but the Yankees lineup has been rolling over the last couple of weeks. This Orioles lineup was able to produce against Severino on the road, and they should do the same at home.

Leg 1: Orioles +1.5

St. Louis Cardinals (+104) vs. New York Mets (-122) O/U 8

(First Pitch 7:10 p.m. ET)

The Mets come into this series as the best team in the National League, but they have not been consistent lately as they haven’t won three in a row since April 24-26; two of those wins were against the Cardinals.

Trevor Williams will get his second start of the season and sixth overall appearance. In his previous start, he struggled immensely as he allowed four earned in just two innings against Arizona. This Cardinals offense has a good history against him, including Yadier Molina, who’s batting .333,  Paul Goldschmidt at .318, and Harrison Bader at .429.

It’s a good sign as the Cardinals’ offense came out on Sunday night and scored 15 runs in San Fransisco. Miles Mikolas is looking like he’ll be a Cy Young contender as he’s third in the NL with a 1.49 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. Unlike Williams, he has a great track record against this Mets roster as collectively they’re hitting .119 in 94 at-bats.

You have to favor the pitching matchup for St. Louis heavily, and although the Mets have played offensively well, Mikolas has been outstanding this year.

Leg 2: St. Louis ML

Arizona Diamondbacks (+200) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (-245) O/U 8.5

(First Pitch 10:10 p.m. ET)

The NL West is one of the most competitive divisions in the league. The Dodgers do sit on top of the division, but all five teams are only within three games from each other.

The Diamondbacks, after a rough start to the season, have emerged in the last couple of weeks, winning 10 of their previous 15 games. The mediocre offense to start the season has gotten much better, but the pitching continues to do well with a team ERA of 3.55.

Madison Bumgarner’s first couple of seasons with the Diamondbacks had not gone well, but he is looking like the old Mad Bum as he comes in with a 1.78 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine. As his velocity dropped over the years, he’s made the cutter into his primary pitch by throwing it 50% of the time compared to 34.3% in 2021, and it’s revitalized his career.

The Dodgers will counter with Tony Gonsolin, one of the Dodgers’ best pitchers in the league’s best pitching staff. He’s leading the team with a 1.33 ERA and 5.3 hits per nine. He’s getting better at balancing his pitches and getting ahead with the fastball, then drops the slider or split-finger to put them away. He’s come in with a good history against this D-Backs roster as they’re batting just .165 against in 85.

Both of these pitchers coming into this game are pitching well and have a good history against these lineups. The 8.5 total is way too high for this matchup.

Leg 3: Under 8.5

Total parlay odds on FanDuel: +678

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