Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Friday, May 27 (2022)

May 27, 2022 - 2:13 PM

I love to attack bad pitching with good pitching. But tonight, the pitching matchups are glaring with mismatches. I’m adjusting slightly today, But I still have three plays that I’ll be cheering on tonight in the MLB.

Here are my picks and predictions for all three of my favorite bets for May 27.

(Odds courtesy DraftKings)

Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals

In my opinion, this is the closest game to a huge mismatch tonight. The Rockies will pitch Austin Gomber, who will go against Aaron Sanchez of the Nationals.

The Nationals have just 15 wins this season and aren’t going to get any better soon. Gomber, a lefty, will take on a Washington projected lineup with an ISO of .087 and wOBA of .295 in the last 30 days. The Nationals rarely hit fly balls against lefties and continue to hit ground balls at a high rate.

Gomber is inducing 51.1% of ground balls in the last 30 days, which favors the lefty. Meanwhile, Aaron Sanchez has a 5.45 xFIP with 11.5% of strikeouts in the previous 30 days. The right-hander is getting rocked by righties, allowing a wOBA of .507 and ISO of .314. The Rockies should have six righties in the lineup to do some damage against Sanchez.

Take the Rockies.

Bet: Rockies (-105 at DraftKings) 

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Brandon Woodruff has had an up-and-down campaign in 2022. But in the last 30 days, Woodruff has an xFIP of 2.86 with 34.1% of strikeouts and 4.5% of walks. Eventually, the box score numbers will go his way if he continues to put up those analytical numbers.

Meanwhile, Dakota Hudson will take the mound for the Cardinals. He’s been the opposite of Woodruff, with a 5.36 xFIP in the last 30 days with 10.6% of strikeouts and 11.5% of walks. Yes, he’s walking more than he’s striking out over the previous 30 days.

The Brewers also have a wOBA of .340 against righties in the last 30 days, and a couple of runs should be enough to do the trick with Woodruff on the mound.

Bet: Brewers (-150 at DraftKings) 

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

The Seattle Mariners went from really good to really bad in one year. It’s a shame. I liked getting excited for the Mariners. But now they’re back in last place in their division, and there’s nothing to get excited about.

Justin Verlander will take the mound for the Astros with a 3.88 xFIP in the last 30 days. He’s kept power numbers down along with wOBA numbers in the last 30 days to both sides of the plate. He’s also going to pitch against a Mariners team with a .137 ISO.

Meanwhile, Chris Flexen will give it a go for the Mariners. He has a 5.94 xFIP in the last 30 days with 16.9% strikeouts and 9.3% walks. Flexen won’t earn a whole lot of ground balls and is giving up 44.2% of hard contact in that same time frame.

Back the Astros on the run line.

Bet: Astros -1.5 (-120 at DraftKings)

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