Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Sunday, June 26 (2022)

Jun 26, 2022 - 3:15 PM

Yesterday’s card finished 1-1-1. So we lost the slightest amount of profit, but we can absolutely get that back with today’s slate.

Let’s waste no time. Here are my favorite three plays for today’s slate in the MLB for June 26.

(Odds courtesy DraftKings)


Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

The Toronto Blue Jays will take on Milwaukee’s Chi Chi Gonzalez for today’s game. Gonzalez has a 4.59 xFIP in the last 30 days with the Brewers and has rarely been producing strikeouts.

In the last 30 days, the former Rockies pitcher has struck out just 12.8% of batters faced. He’s also allowing 25% of line drives when balls are hit into play.

Against righties, Gonzalez has allowed a wOBA of .409 and ISO of .308 in the last 30 days. He’ll take on a Blue Jays lineup that will likely have at least six righties in the lineup and potentially seven depending on who plays catcher. Anyway, the Blue Jays have a .203 ISO and wOBA of .363 in the last 30 days against righties with 25.7% of line drives hit with their projected lineup.

The Blue Jays should be able to score at least three runs in the first five innings against Gonzalez.

Bet: Blue Jays Over 2.5 F5 TT (-130 at DraftKings


Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers

The Washington Nationals will send out Jackson Tetreault for the final game of their series against the Rangers. Tetreault has a 6.25 xFIP in the last 30 days and has struggled against righties throughout that time frame. Tetreault has given up a .449 wOBA and ISO of .310 against righties in the last 30 days. He’s also struck out batters just 7.7% of the time in that same time frame.

The Rangers’ projected lineup has struck out 25.1% of the time against righties in the last 30 days, but because Tetreault rarely earns strikeouts, the Rangers should end up putting the ball in play more. When the ball is in play, the Rangers are hitting 35% of ground balls and 21.2% of line drives using the last 30 days against righties.

Meanwhile, Glenn Otto will take the hill for the Rangers. While he also has a high xFIP, he’s also done some very good things in the last 30 days. His xFIP is sitting at 6.19 in the last 30 days but he’s induced 48.3% of ground balls when balls are put in play during that time frame. He has also limited power against both sides of the plate and will take on a Washington lineup that has a .304 wOBA as a unit against righties in the last 30 days.

Back the Rangers on the runline.

Bet: Rangers -1.5 (+115 at DraftKings)


Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

The Phillies and Padres will play without three superstars in tonight’s game. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been out for the entire year but the Padres will also still be without Manny Machado, who was injured last week.

Meanwhile, Bryce Harper just fractured his thumb after being hit by a pitch last night and will be out of the lineup for a long period of time.

At this point, both lineups are weak. With Yu Darvish and Kyle Gibson on the mound, I’ll trust the pitching in this one.

Darvish has limited power against lefties and righties in the last 30 days while Gibson has practically done the same, with slightly higher power numbers allowed.

Either way, I’m backing the under here.

Bet: Under 7.5 (-110 at DraftKings)


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