Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Thursday, July 7th (2022)

Jul 7, 2022 - 9:44 AM

The ‘dogs had been barking with a 26-17 record over the previous three days leading up to Wednesday’s action. However, favorites “righted the ship” yesterday despite three of the wins from underdogs coming from the biggest dogs on yesterday’s slate. And to add to that, even the Colorado Rockies covered the runline against the Los Angeles Dodgers at plus odds despite totaling just one hit.

Here are our best bets for Thursday’s MLB action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves RL

The Braves have owned the Cardinals in recent years, winning 13 of the last 15 regular-season matchups and outscoring them 78-36 in that span. These two teams continue to head in opposite directions, as Atlanta is 7-2 in its last nine games, while St. Louis has lost four straight and six of seven.

Though a pair of rookies take the mound tonight, Atlanta is considered to have a massive pitching edge based on how well their youngster has pitched. Spencer Strider (4-2, 2.87) has allowed one earned run on six hits over the last 12 innings while striking out 18 and walking one. He is a flamethrower who hits 100 mph on the radar gun with an electric fastball and is quickly becoming someone whom manager Brian Snitker can trust.

On the other side, Matthew Liberatore has pitched to a 10.97 ERA through three road starts, with a whopping .417 OBA and sky-high 2.44 WHIP. St. Louis will need to score runs to hang with Atlanta in this one, but that will be difficult to do as Paul Goldschmidt has not homered since June 27 (stuck on 299 career home runs), and Tommy Edman was moved to the No. 7 spot briefly from leadoff as his average has dipped to .262.

Bet: Atlanta Braves -1.5 Runs (-105 at DraftKings)  

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks ML

The Rockies and Diamondbacks have differing levels of momentum heading into this series opener. Both faced teams that won 106+ games last year, but the Dodgers swept Colorado, and Arizona took two out of three games from the Giants. Those results are baked into this line, but the Giants have not played well for quite some time now, and the Dodgers are the best team in the National League.

We are intrigued by Colorado’s chances of winning this opener since they have split six head-to-head meetings with Arizona and are facing a southpaw against whom it has had much success this year.

The Rockies rank seventh with a 114 wRC+ against left-handed pitching but lead the league with a .813 OPS and .354 wOBA. While many suggest that those numbers are inflated because of Coors Field, Arizona’s Chase Field is also an extremely hitter-friendly park, minus the altitude.

Arizona’s Dallas Keuchel’s (0-1, 9.64) best days are behind him, while Colorado’s Austin Gomber (4-7, 6.53) just beat the Diamondbacks in his last start, and his 2.25 GO/AO ratio was one of his best in an individual game all season.

Bet: Colorado Rockies ML (-135 at DraftKings) 

Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Alternate RL

There is not much to analyze in this one, as Los Angeles’ +144 run differential is 80 runs better than the next best National League team, and their starting pitcher is looking more and more like the league’s Cy Young winner with each start.

Tony Gonsolin (10-0, 1.54) looks to become the major’s first 11-game winner, and his .156 OBA is the best in baseball, while his 0.82 WHIP is a close second. He should not have much issue against a Cubs lineup that ranks in the league’s bottom half in batting average, wRC+, K%, and wOBA in road games this year.

Bet: Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 Runs (+115 at DraftKings) 

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