Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Wednesday, July 27th (2022)

Jul 27, 2022 - 11:24 AM

Yesterday was a good day for offenses in Major League Baseball, as the over cashed in 11 of the 15 games. And from a moneyline standpoint, the Los Angeles Dodgers continue to be a frustrating team, losing back-to-back home games to the Washington Nationals by a combined score of 12-4 after entering the series with an 11-game home winning streak. Or perhaps bettors are more frustrated with the Houston Astros of late, as they followed up five straight post-All-Star Game victories with consecutive losses against the Oakland Athletics.

Will those two World Series contenders right the ship today? What other surprises are we in for?

Here are our best bets for Wednesday’s MLB action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

Chicago White Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: White Sox Team Total O/U

The White Sox continued to enjoy team success in their series opener against the Rockies, improving to 10-0 in their last ten interleague road games against right-handed starting pitchers. However, their offense could not be credited too much with the victory yesterday as they won a rare 2-1 pitcher’s duel at Coors Field. We like their offense to break out in a big way today against a Rockies pitcher that has startlingly bad numbers against right-handed batters all season.

Colorado’s Antonio Senzatela (3-5, 4.98) has allowed an OBA of .378 and a WHIP of 1.77 to right-handed batters this season. He has especially struggled in his last two starts, throwing a combined seven innings and allowing six earned runs, including three home runs. Chicago’s offense ranks in the top ten in the league in wRC+ over the last 30 days, which suggests a bounceback is imminent at Coors Field today.

Each of Chicago’s last five day games against National League opponents has gone over the projected total, and we like for it to do its part in the scoring and help this game soar over the projected total again.

Bet: Chicago White Sox Team Total OVER 6.5 Runs (+100 at DraftKings)  

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays O/U

The Cardinals were stymied in the late innings in yesterday’s series opener in Toronto, as they were held to four hits (all singles) over the last six innings of yesterday’s 10-3 defeat. And while that meant the over cashed for the sixth consecutive meeting between these teams, we expect a much different outcome tonight.

At some point, playing without Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado will completely limit St. Louis’ offense, as they are ineligible for this series due to Canada’s rules on unvaccinated players. A Cardinals lineup without Goldschmidt and Arenado will be lacking in several areas, as the two rank first and second, respectively, on the team in batting average, home runs, RBIs, and slugging percentage. Goldschmidt also leads the team with a .417 on-base percentage, while Arenado is not far behind in third at .359.

Thus, we expect Toronto’s Kevin Gausman (7-7, 3.00) to follow up with another solid outing against the shorthanded Cardinals, while veteran Adam Wainwright (6-8, 3.40) will rebound from a poor outing at Cincinnati and throw more like the pitcher who had a 2.70 ERA through his first three July starts.

Bet: Cardinals-Blue Jays UNDER 8 Runs (-105 at DraftKings) 

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles ML

The Orioles continue to show the rest of the league they are not the same team that lost 110 games last season, yet they continue to be disrespected by the oddsmakers. Baltimore enters as underdogs for the 88th time in their 98th game, despite being over .500 (49-48) in the most competitive division in baseball. Not only that, but the Orioles have won the first two games of this four-game series against the Rays by a combined score of 10-4 and are now a respectable 14-12 against all AL East opponents not named the New York Yankees. While oddsmakers continue to be low on Baltimore, that should not matter much to bettors that have been smart enough to back them through this impressive turnaround.

Tonight’s starting pitcher, Tyler Wells (7-6, 3.69), went 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA in June. He came back to earth with a poor outing in his last start as the Yankees tagged him for five runs over five innings, but Tampa Bay’s lineup is not as powerful as New York’s. Wells was one out away from throwing a quality start at Tampa Bay in his start before facing New York, and he once again opposes a Rays lineup that ranks in the bottom half of the league in OBP and slugging over the last 14 days.

All things considered, we are getting tremendous value with Baltimore as underdogs tonight.

Bet: Baltimore Orioles ML (+105 at DraftKings) 

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

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