MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Friday: Braves vs. Phillies (9/23)

Sep 23, 2022 - 3:20 PM

Check out one of our favorite picks and predictions for Friday’s MLB slate: Braves vs. Phillies.

(Odds courtesy DraftKings)

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MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Friday: Braves vs. Phillies (9/23)

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Atlanta Braves are 1.5 games back in the NL East. Meanwhile, the Phillies are looking to hold onto the final spot in the NL Wild Card.

This series is essential.

Tonight, Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Phillies. He has a 2.98 xFIP over the last 30 days while striking out 30% of batters faced. He’s also limited walks to 3.3% in the last month against those same batters.

He’s taking on a Braves lineup that has struck out 24.2% of the time in the last 30 days against righties. Atlanta still has a .185 ISO and wOBA of .330, but they’ll usually struggle against righties with strikeout potential.

On the other hand, Jake Odorizzi will take the hill for the Astros. He’s a righty with a 5.20 xFIP in the last 30 days. Odorizzi will allow more fly balls than ground balls and is striking out under 21% of batters faced over the last month.

The Phillies have almost the same average as the Braves, with a .184 ISO and wOBA of .334 in the last 30 days against righties.

But Philadelphia should end up putting the ball in play more. That will give the Phillies more opportunities to win this game. Take the Phillies at home.

Bet: Phillies (-155 at DraftKings) 

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