MLB Wild Card Odds, Picks & Predictions for Friday: Mariners vs. Blue Jays (10/7)

Oct 7, 2022 - 1:41 PM

Let’s take a look at our top picks for today’s games. Here’s our best bet for Mariners vs. Blue Jays.

• Rays vs. Guardians
• Phillies vs. Cardinals

(Odds courtesy DraftKings)

View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

MLB Wild Card Odds, Picks & Predictions for Friday

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays will not enjoy facing Luis Castillo in the series’ first game.

Castillo is a ground ball pitcher, earning nearly 50% in the last 30 days when balls are hit into play. The Blue Jays are currently hitting 52.7% of ground balls as a projected lineup against righties in the last 30 days.

Even if Castillo gets into trouble, there’s a good chance he can get out of it with a ground-ball double play or a strikeout.

I should mention Castillo has also struck out over 29% of batters faced in the last 30 days.

On the other hand, Alek Manoah will man the mound for the Blue Jays. He’s kept his wOBA and ISO down against both sides of the plate, but he’s holding a 5.31 xFIP over the last 30 days with a BABIP of .184. That BABIP of .184 will be hard to replicate in the postseason.

Meanwhile, the Mariners are hitting a .241 ISO and wOBA of .344 in the last 30 days against righties. Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh are two of five batters who are hitting an above-average ISO and wOBA in the last month against righties.

I’ve got the Mariners winning Game 1.

Bet: Mariners (+115 at DraftKings )

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