MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (3/31)

Mar 31, 2023 - 12:02 PM

After a truly fantastic Opening Day, we have a limited slate of games for this first Friday of the season. In this series, we will be taking a look at my favorite Same Game Parlay bets for this slate of games. Some quick rules for the picks here:

  • At least three bets per SGP
  • Total Combined Odds will be +400 or better

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Friday:

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>

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Friday’s Best MLB Same-Game Parlays

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners

Leg 1: Eugenio Suarez 2+ TB (+160)

Suarez’s offensive contributions can be boiled down to two factors: Power and Swing and Miss. Today he faces Hunter Gaddis, who has allowed at least 1 HR/9 or higher in each stop of the minors outside of a small sample in 2019.

Leg 2: Robbie Ray 6+ Ks (-125)

If there’s one thing Robbie Ray does as well as any other pitcher in baseball, it is generating strikeouts. He has carried double-digit K/9 his entire career. The Guardians do not swing a miss a ton, but this is a reachable number for an elite K-artist like Ray.

Leg 3: Mariners ML (-165)

This is strictly a play against the fact that Cleveland is starting Hunter Gaddis. There is a huge gap in talent on the mound, and while I am not extremely high on the Mariners’ offense, it is talented enough to do the job here.

Combined Odds: +475

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

Leg 1: Christian Javier 7+ K (+105)

Coming off a breakout in 2022, Javier is making his first start of the season. He gets a ton of swing and misses so the K number should be easy to reach. The concern with Javier will always be how deep he will go in the game. The White Sox are very RHH heavy so this should be an attainable number for him.

Leg 2: Kyle Tucker 2+ TB (+135)

Since his breakout, Tucker has excelled against fastballs with multiple seasons of wOBAs above 0.400 against the pitch type. Lance Lynn uses his fastball about as much as any other starter in the game and should be a great matchup for Tucker offensively.

Leg 3: First Inning u0.5 Runs (-140)

Both of these pitchers are well above average run preventers, and despite my liking for Tucker, he likely hits 5th again today. If Lynn can get past Yordan Alvarez, he should be able to post a clean inning.

Combined Odds: +700

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

Leg 1: Pete Alonso To Homer (+450)

This will be a bit more of a longshot SGP. Alonso is one of the game’s best power hitters, and while he is equally good against RHP, he has an ISO of just under 0.300 against lefties like Jesus Luzardo. Luzardo had a breakout in 2022, but his MLB career contains stretches of homer issues.

Leg 2: Total Runs o8.5 (+110)

I am largely a believer in both starting pitchers in this game. David Peterson has high-end strikeout skills, but walks have been an issue his entire career. Luzardo is coming off a career year, but the Marlins’ pen can be suspect at times. I think the Mets’ powerful offense does a lot of the heavy lifting here, and the walk issues for Peterson do just enough to help this total get there.

Leg 3: Luis Arraez 2+ Hits (+175)

Arraez is one of the best contact hitters in the game, and despite hitting left-handed, he still carries a 0.260 AVG in his career against southpaws. This is a bet that Peterson is not long for the game, and Arraez will get several at-bats against the Mets’ bullpen. As stated off the jump, this SGP is a bit more of a long shot than the other two, but I still like the chances.

Combined Odds: +1500

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