NBA Parlay Pick: Suns vs. Bucks Game 5, July 17th (2021)

Jul 17, 2021 - 12:37 PM

The NBA Finals are all knotted up with the home team winning each game in the series thus far. After the Phoenix Suns stole the momentum by taking a 2-0 lead, the Milwaukee Bucks have now put pressure on the Suns to regroup. Regardless of who you are rooting for, at least we now have a competitive series to cap off an eventful season. The Bucks have had a player score 40+ points in three consecutive games, which could entice people to bet on point totals for Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, or Jrue Holiday. Instead of electing to bet on the key members of the Bucks to score a certain amount of points in Game 5, I like four other bets that you can combine on FanDuel Sportsbook to create a Same Game Parlay.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Jrue Holiday Under 2.5 threes made (-160)

Yes, Holiday has one of the highest usage percentages on the Bucks, and he’s a key cog in their offense. However, the talented two-way guard has struggled with his shot throughout the playoffs, and his woeful shooting has lingered into the NBA Finals. Holiday has converted only 29.5 percent of his threes, making just 1.8 threes per game in the postseason thus far. Despite his problems from deep, Holiday has an over/under of 2.5 threes on Saturday night. Over the course of the playoffs, Holiday has knocked down 3+ threes in only six of his 21 (28.6%) appearances. Furthermore, with Game 5 taking place in Phoenix, the veteran guard has eclipsed 3+ three-pointers in just one road game. All signs point toward Holiday having another quiet outing from outside on Saturday night.

Jrue Holiday Over 7.5 assists (-134)

While I don’t believe Holiday will be lighting it up from deep, he’ll still be active in Milwaukee’s offensive game plan. When the Bucks run their half-court offense, Holiday tends to be creating for others the most. In the first four games of the NBA Finals, the former first-round pick has accrued 13.3 potential assists per game, the second-most among players in the NBA Finals, only behind Chris Paul (17 potential assists per game). It’s unrealistic to expect his teammates to make every shot that Holiday creates, but he’s still averaging eight assists per game in the series. On Saturday night, all we need is for Holiday to maintain his average of eight assists. Up to this point, Holiday has registered 8+ assists in 10 of his last 14 games in the playoffs.

Deandre Ayton Over 12.5 rebounds (-108)

Ayton’s inability to score was the only reason my previous parlay was unable to hit. I took the over on Ayton’s 16.5 points, only for the Arizona product to score a mere six points on 3-9 shooting. Even though it’s uncharacteristic for Ayton to miss many shots, and he could bounce back in the scoring column on Saturday, I’m interested in his rebounding prop. Entering Game 5 of the NBA Finals, Ayton’s rebound total is set at 12.5. Some would stray away from this number, but there’s reason to believe he could easily reach it. Throughout the first four games of the series versus the Bucks, Ayton has garnered 20.5 rebound chances, coming down with 68.3 percent of them to average 14 rebounds per game. With Ayton playing defense around the basket often as he guards Antetokounmpo, he should have upwards of 20 rebound chances again on Saturday.

Cameron Johnson Over 9.5 points (-106)

Back on Wednesday, I sided with Pat Connaughton to score over 7.5 points for the Bucks, and he came through with 11 points on three made threes. After getting it right with one of Milwaukee’s role players, I’m leaning toward a point total for one of Phoenix’s role players on Saturday. Cameron Johnson has been a much-needed spark plug off of the bench for the Suns in the playoffs. In his 20 outings in this year’s postseason, Johnson is posting 8.6 points and 3.1 rebounds per game on an impressive 44.1 percent shooting from outside. The young wing player has mustered up at least 10 points in seven of his last nine playoff games. Given his efficiency from outside, coupled with the fact he’s seen 28+ minutes in back-to-back games, I’m confident in Johnson showing out in front of the home crowd in Phoenix in Game 5.

Final Parlay Odds: +959

NBA Prop Bets

• Bobby Portis Jr. Prop Bet Odds
• Devin Booker Prop Bet Odds
• Chris Paul Prop Bet Odds
• Jrue Holiday Prop Bet Odds
• P.J. Tucker Prop Bet Odds

Check out our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for the top bets of the day >>

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