Best First Basket Prop Bets for Monday, Feb. 28 (2022)

Feb 28, 2022 - 4:11 PM

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  • 2-25-2022: Lebron James +700 ✅
  • 2-24-2022: Kevon Looney +1000✅
  • 2-17-2022: Jrue Holiday +900 ✅

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We have 2 teams coming in very hot to this matchup, with the Charlotte Hornets scoring 1st in 6 of their last 8, and the Milwaukee Bucks scoring 1st in 7 of their last 10.

This will be the 3rd matchup of the year between the Bucks and Hornets, with the Hornets having scored 1st in all 3 games (1x – Hayward, Bridges, Plumlee). Mason Plumlee has jumped against Bobby Portis in 2 of those games, winning the tip in both of them. In Charlottes last 11 road games, they’ve gotten an attempt at 1st basket in all 11. With that said, I’ll be looking at Charlotte to play today.

The usage rate for Miles Bridges early has been pretty incredible, as he’s taken an attempt to make Charlottes 1st basket in 7 of their last 8. He’s cashed 1st basket in 3 of those 8. Even though he’s sitting at +500, he’s worth a look every night with the way Charlotte’s been going to him early. He will be a top play.

Surprisingly, the Power Forward is the position that scores the most 1st baskets against the Bucks. 2nd on that list is the SGs. In the last 10 games that Charlotte has cashed a 1st basket, it’s been Terry Rozier or Miles Bridges in 8 of them (Bridges 6x, Rozier 2x). I’ll be doubling down on Charlotte players being the top plays of the night. I think there’s great value on Plumlee & Rozier.

The Bucks have scored 1st at Home in 8 of their last 10. If the Bucks get an attempt at 1st basket, I’ll be looking at Bobby Portis +750 as the guy I’d play. In the last 6 games that Charlotte has been scored on 1st, it’s be a Center in 4 of them. Portis’ usage rate has gone down a bit over the past few weeks for the Bucks, but I’d still expect him to get involved early considering Plumlee is not a good early game defender.

Top Plays: Miles Bridges +500 , Terry Rozier +1200

Value Plays: Mason Plumlee +1000, Bobby Portis +750

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