Best First Basket Prop Bets for Monday, March 28 (2022)

Mar 28, 2022 - 5:37 PM

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Top Plays: 16 of 68 (23.5%, +43.0u)

*considering 1u risk for Top Plays* / **value plays become top plays if Top Play is announced out**

Check out all of today’s First Basket Player Prop Bets >>


This will be the 2nd matchup of the year between the Cavs and Magic, with Magic having scored 1st in their only matchup this year (Gary Harris). Mo Bamba (52% Tip Win) will be facing against Evan Mobley (36% Tip Win) for the 1st time this year. Mobley’s jump stats get even worse on the road, with him winning only 25% of tips when the Cavs are away.

The Cavs also allow opposing teams an opportunity at 1st basket in 93% of the games that he’s jumped in. That gets even worse on the road, with the Cavs allowing an opportunity at 1st Basket in 100% of road games that Mobley jumps in. Given that, along with the fact Bamba has won 4 of the last 5 tips he’s jumped in, I think the Magic will have an opportunity to score 1st Basket today.

In the L5 games for the Magic, they’ve cashed 1st Basket in 3 of them (Bamba 2x, Wendell Carter Jr. 1x). Looking a little deeper, in the L9 games that the Magic took a 1st Basket attempt, Bamba and Cole Anthony took shots in 6 of them (67%). Bamba has scored 1st team FG for the Magic in 3 straight road games.

In the 9 games that Mobley jumps and the Cavs were scored on 1st, it was Center in 6 of them. In the other 3 games that they were scored on 1st, it was a Forward. Wendell Carter Jr. and Mo Bamba make up for 52% of the Magic’s 1st Baskets, so I think there’s enough value on both of them to play here tonight.


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View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

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