Texas Southern Tigers vs. Texas A&M-CC Islanders Odds & Preview for 2022 NCAA Tournament

Mar 13, 2022 - 11:25 PM

Texas Southern Tigers vs. Texas A&M-CC Islanders 2022 NCAA Tournament Game Preview

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Texas Southern Tigers vs. Texas A&M-CC Islanders Match Up Overview

Texas Southern Texas A&M-CC
Conference SWAC Southland
W-L 18-12 23-11
AdjEM 188th 243rd
AdjO 270th 287th
AdjD 105th 181st
Tempo 128th 73rd
eFG% 242nd 288th
TO% 333rd 278th
OR% 25th 16th
FTR 105th 18th
DeFG% 13th 131st
DTO% 235th 18th
DR% 176th 220th
DFTR 278th 348th
Luck 160th 99th

Stats via KenPom.

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Texas Southern Tigers Preview

After starting 0-7 with seven-straight road games, Texas Southern’s turnaround moment this season was a 69-54 road victory over Florida, when they were missing two contributing players. After that, Texas Southern went 17-5 and earned an auto-bid.

A positive thing about this team is their ninth-ranked non-conference strength of schedule. The SWAC is probably the worst conference in the nation, and all those early non-conference games seemed to help this team the rest of the season and could have an impact in the tournament.

The Tigers lean on their defense, which is ranked 106th in the nation. Their defensive FG% is 13th best. Texas Southern is one of the deeper teams out there, ranking first in bench minutes. Considering that no player on the team has played more than 55% of the minutes, they can come at you any which way. Their offense isn’t great, but the surprises Texas Southern can bring gives me confidence in their ability to at least cover the spread.

Texas A&M-CC Islanders Preview

The Islanders of Texas A&M Corpus Christi are dancing after riding a hot streak through the Southland Conference tournament despite a 4 seed. Isaac Mushila of the Congo has outperformed expectations, rebounding at a high rate along with teammate De’Lazarus Keys to make up a solid frontcourt with a 16th-ranked OR%.

While their offense ranks 287th, their ability to reach the free-throw line has been key, as they rank 18th in free-throw rate. Over 23% of their points come from the charity stripe, which is the third-highest in the nation.

Their defense is decent, as they force turnovers and play physically. That also means they frequently find themselves in foul trouble. The Islanders do defend well beyond the arc, ranking 68th in 3pt%. But they are one of the shortest teams in the nation, allowing opponents to shoot better than 50% from down low. Any squad that is an efficient interior scoring team should handle TAMCC with ease.

Rapid Prediction for Texas Southern Tigers vs. Texas A&M-CC Islanders

This is a battle of two conference champions who play a similar brand of basketball. They both play at fast tempos but focus on their strength, which is their defense. Texas Southern has a significant advantage in terms of their KenPom rating. After starting the season 0-7, they beat the Florida Gators on the road and finished the season 18-12 and as conference champions. While Texas A&M Corpus Christi may not have played as many big-name opponents as Texas Southern did, they are deserving of the Southland Conference championship, as they won seven of their last eight games. The tournament experience for Texas Southern, combined with being able to defend effectively at all three levels, makes this a game they can control from the opening tip as long as they can foul less than a Corpus Christi team that would have to win the free throw battle to have any chance.

Texas Southern Tigers vs. Texas A&M-CC Islanders Round 1 Game Pick

Texas Southern -3

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