Notre Dame vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Pick and Predictions for 2022 NCAA Tournament

Mar 19, 2022 - 5:07 PM

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Game Info

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (24-10, 15-5 ACC) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (26-9, 12-6 Big 12)

• Date: Sunday, Mar. 20, 2022
• Start Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Location: Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl — San Diego, CA
• Coverage: TBS
• Last Meeting: December 6, 1975 — Notre Dame defeated Texas Tech 88-63 in South Bend.

Notre Dame vs. Texas Tech Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

• Moneyline: ND: (+260) | TT: (-333)
• Point Spread: ND: +7.5 (-110) | TT: -7.5 (-110)
• Total: 132.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Betting Trends

• Notre Dame 2021-22 Betting Trends: 19-15 ATS; 19-15 to the Over
• Texas Tech 2021-22 Betting Trends: 22-13 ATS; 17-18 to the Over
• Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games
• Notre Dame is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as underdogs
• Notre Dame is 3-7 ATS in its last ten neutral site games
• Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games
• Texas Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last nine NCAA Tournament games
• The over is 8-1-1 in Notre Dame’s last ten games
• The under is 7-3 in Texas Tech’s last ten NCAA Tournament games

Overview

The No. 11 seed Notre Dame Fighting Irish aims to keep a fascinating NCAA Tournament historical trend going that at least one double-digit seed has advanced to the Sweet 16 in all but two seasons since 1985 (1995 and 2007). In addition, at least three double-digit seeds have made the regional semifinals 15 times in that span. Meanwhile, Texas Tech is searching for its third trip to the Sweet 16 in the last four NCAA Tournaments. The Red Raiders are no strangers to deep NCAA Tournament runs recently, advancing to the Elite Eight in 2018 and the national championship game in 2019. Conversely, Notre Dame’s first two wins in this NCAA Tournament were the school’s first since 2017.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview

Something about playing in the First Four has gotten teams’ motors started well entering the Round of 64. Notre Dame became the tenth First Four team to advance to the Round of 32, doing so in convincing fashion as 78-64 winners over No. 6 seed Alabama. Notre Dame head coach Mike Brey is no stranger to the NCAA Tournament, appearing for the 15th time in his coaching career and 13th with the Fighting Irish.

Notre Dame’s First Four game against Rutgers did not end until after midnight on Wednesday. Then they had a long flight to San Diego and a quick turnaround on Friday afternoon to face the Crimson Tide. However, that did not stop Notre Dame from once again lighting it up from deep, as their ten 3-pointers makes the sixth time in the last 11 games they have made double-digit 3-pointers.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

Texas Tech is known for its stifling man-to-man defense that ranks first in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric. However, the Red Raiders offense looked more impressive in their opening-round win over Montana State. Texas Tech shot a blistering 66.7% (36-for-54) from the field, including 60% (12-of-20) from 3-point range. The Red Raiders’ 97 points is a tournament record and breaks their previous high of 92 points set in 1996 against North Carolina. Montana State looked overwhelmed in its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 1996 and trailed by 14 points less than five minutes into the game.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Pick and Prediction

Can the Red Raiders follow up their best offensive performance of the season and best in their NCAA Tournament history with another solid outing against Notre Dame? The Fighting Irish do not force many turnovers, as their 15.2% turnover percentage ranks 333rd in the country. That should help Texas Tech’s case, as turnovers have been an issue for them all season.

The biggest area Notre Dame can exploit in this matchup is the 3-point line, where they shoot an incredible 38.1% as a team (ranks tenth in Division I) on the season. In addition, four Notre Dame players shoot better than 35% beyond the arc, and the Fighting Irish are getting solid production from some of their more unlikely sources of late. The best example is Cormac Ryan, who has averaged 20 ppg over the last four games and is coming off a season-high 29-point performance against Alabama.

It is imperative for Notre Dame big man, Paul Atkinson, to stay out of foul trouble, as his interior presence is vital on both ends of the court against a physical Texas Tech team. Notre Dame’s weary legs should not be as much of an issue in this game since they did not have to travel after Friday’s win, and we look for them to shoot well once again and stay close in this game.

Pick: Notre Dame +7.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

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