College Basketball Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (1/15)

Jan 15, 2023 - 3:01 AM

As we are deep in the college basketball season, now is the time to use the plethora of data to get going on winning some money. I hope that successfully betting on college basketball was part of your New Year’s resolution because I will be providing successful plays up until the end of the season. It’s a slow slate today, but I am sure I can still find you some winners. Remember to shop around for the best odds. Especially for lower-tier games, you can find multiple value points depending on the books you bet at.

Here are my best bets for today’s men’s college basketball slate.

Here are our other best bets for Sunday:

All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

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College Basketball Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (1/15)

Marquette at Xavier

It is the second-best KenPom offense against the fifth-best KenPom offense – I feel like you know where this is going, right?

Marquette is unbelievable inside the arc. Not only do they rank first in 2pt shooting percentage but also rank first in shooting from mid-range. They rank 17th in breakaway scoring and take care of the ball well.

Xavier shoots the lights out, shooting nearly 41 percent from deep which is the second-best mark in the nation, going against the 216th-ranked 3pt defense in Marquette. The Musketeers also rank 31st in the nation in second chance conversion percentage. Even if their shooting is off, they should capitalize on the offensive glass.

Life’s too short to bet the under.

Play: OVER 163 (-115)

Ohio State at Rutgers

It’s always a treat when college basketball has an awesome Sunday slate. This game should be awesome. Ohio State’s offense (ranked third) against the Rutgers defense (also ranked third) entices me to break out the popcorn and simply enjoy.

These two teams are ranked nearly identical on most statistical websites, but Rutgers is the better team right now. They rank vastly ahead of Ohio State in momentum (155th to 304th), consistency (52nd to 235th), and home/away court advantage (26th to 139th).

What I love about the Scarlet Knights is their ability to rebound. Not only do they rank 32nd in offensive rebounding percentage, but eighth in second chance conversion percentage. So even if their 109th-ranked offense is struggling, their 17th-ranked height should play out in the paint.

Play: Rutgers -3.5 (-110)

Maryland at Iowa

Let me start by saying how these are two of the most inconsistent teams in DI – both teams actually rank in the bottom 25 in the Haslametrics consistency metric. We’ve seen blowouts and bad losses from both teams.

If you can tease this game out one way or another, do it. I’d be willing to wager that this will be a 10+ point game, so you can get some value on either side if you care to. These are two very similar teams, with Maryland ranking 37th in KenPom and Iowa ranking 35th. Iowa does play much better at home, but I don’t think it’s deserving of 5.5 points difference.

Maryland is most effective at scoring inside the arc, ranking 46th in the nation at two-point scoring. The way the Hawkeyes run their defense, they allow a lot of interior looks, with nearly 59 percent of opponents’ points coming from 2pt land – 13th highest in DI ball. Maryland’s all-around 33rd-ranked KenPom defense is going to be tough to handle. Again, this game has a plethora of possibilities, but Maryland +5.5 is the right play.

Play: Maryland +5.5 (-104)

Other Picks:

Be sure to follow me @rcoleman98 on the BettingPros app, as I post all my selections there that may not make it in these articles. Remember to monitor injury news because if you can beat the curve, there is plenty of value to be had on any given game day.

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our How To Section — including How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Sports Betting Mistakes — or head to a more advanced strategy — like Thinking Like an Expert Sports Bettor — to learn more.

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