Virginia vs. Furman: NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks (3/16)

Mar 16, 2023 - 9:21 AM

The South Region’s 4 vs. 13 matchup features the defensive-minded Virginia Cavaliers taking on the Southern Conference champion Furman Paladins. Due to the Cavaliers’ defense-first approach, many see this as a potential upset, especially after the Cavaliers’ horrible ACC championship performance against the Duke Blue Devils. Can the Paladins pull off the upset, and what other picks offer value on Thursday?

Here is the best Virginia vs. Furman Same Game Parlay for Thursday, March 16th.

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Leg 1: Virginia Moneyline (-230)

Everyone wants March upsets so badly that they focus on the negative rather than the positive. The Cavaliers looked terrible against the Blue Devils in the ACC title game, but they looked amazing the day before against a desperate Clemson Tigers team. 

The Wahoos are incredible defensively, allowing the fifth-least points per game. The Paladins are going to struggle against Virginia’s style, which is going to allow the Cavaliers to advance. Take this as the safest leg of your parlay.

Leg 2: Furman Under 63.5 Points (-120)

The Paladins average 80.4 points per game. They finished just outside the top 10 in scoring in the NCAA this season. It seems like this is a ridiculously low number for them, and they should clear it easily. But again, this all comes back to Virginia’s defense.

Just how good are the Wahoos? They have held five consecutive opponents to 60 or fewer points this season. They even held the Blue Devils to 59 in the ACC title game. That was just one day after Duke put up 85 on Miami. If the Paladins are going to win, they’re going to have to do it on Virginia’s terms. You could probably take this at 60.5, but to play it safe, we will go with 63.5.

Leg 3: Kihei Clark 20+ Points + Assists (+185)

Nobody needs a good game more than Kihei Clark. Against the Blue Devils, he was a dreadful 1-9 from the field, and he finished the game with just six points. Unfortunately for Clark, this type of performance has been the norm of late. He has failed to reach 10 points in six of his last seven games. So why are we taking the Over?

Because for as good as the Furman offense is, their defense is almost equally as bad. They are 201st in the nation in points allowed per game, and they allow their opponents to shoot 44.8% from the field. Though they only allow 11.2 assists per game, Clark is going to have plenty of assist opportunities, and he will definitely be looking to shoot to get his confidence back ahead of the Cavaliers’ second-round game.

Parlay Odds: +425

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