USC vs. Michigan State: NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks (3/17)

Mar 17, 2023 - 9:40 AM

These are two teams that, when you look a the stat sheets, they are very similar. Both are tough inside the paint that will try to physically against you to gain the advantage.

We won’t see fast-paced or a lot of long-range shooting, with that, it could turn into an exciting battle for 40 minutes.

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March Madness First Round Same Game Parlay Bets

USC vs. Michigan State

All Odds via FanDuel

Leg 1: Michigan State -1.5 (-118)

The Spartans have a very good three-headed monster. Tyson Walker and Joey Hauser are averaging over 14 points per game and are the two legitimate scoring options, then A.J. Hoggard is a great facilitator with six assists.

MSU holds a significant advantage on the boards, and while they’re 80 in rebounds allowed, USC was 269th. What should give you confidence in the Spartans is that they are battled tested. They have the country’s No. 1 Adjusted Efficiency Margin and have 13-11 quad 1 & 2 wins.

Ultimately in a game where the points will come from inside, MSU has the better talent to get it done.

Leg 2: Under 137.5 Game Total (-110)

MSU is already one of the slower-paced teams in the country at 304th in Adjusted Tempo according to KenPom, but they also do an excellent job at slowing down their opponents. USC is middle of the pack in tempo already. Neither team likes to shoot from three, ranking below 280th in three-attempted, so we won’t find the score build up from there. I kept hammering home that this game will live inside the paint and it will more about physically containing their opponent than out-scoring them.

Leg 3: Joey Hauser Under 15.5 Points (-113)

Joey Hauser has been excellent all season, scoring the second most points on the team, but they will have a tough battle with the height disadvantage against Joshua Morgan. Overall the Trojans are very good inside the arc and allow a second-fewest 42.4 two-point percentage. This is going be a tough game for Hauser, where the Spartans will have to rely more on their defense to get the win.

Total Parlay: +565

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