Iowa State vs. Pittsburgh: NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks (3/17)

Mar 17, 2023 - 9:38 AM

Check out our top same game parlay for this week’s NCAA Tournament game between Iowa State vs. Pittsburgh.

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2023 NCAA Tournament Guide (March Madness)

March Madness First Round Same Game Parlay Bets

Iowa State vs. Pittsburgh

Leg 1 – Pittsburgh +4.5 (-120)

Pittsburgh enters this contest with the unique advantage of having already played an elimination game against a team that profiles extremely similar to Iowa State, though I believe the Cyclones to be a step up in class from Mississippi State. Iowa State defends shots inside the arc at an elite level, which isn’t as much of an advantage against this Panthers team that shoots the 3 ball at a top-25 frequency in the country at a top-100 percentage. In a low-possession game that Iowa State would like to play, Pitt’s ability to knock down threes will keep them inside this number.

Leg 2 – Nelly Cummings over 10.5 points (-125)

I had to do a double take when checking this line to make sure I was seeing it right; this is a few points too low. Jeff Capel only used a 7-man rotation in their play-in game, which resulted in Cummings playing a full 40 minutes. Cummings has been a high-usage player down the stretch, averaging 10.25 shots per game in the month of March, excluding a blowout loss to Duke in the ACC tournament. He’s an efficient scorer, shooting the ball at a 36% clip from deep and 88% from the foul line. There’s no reason to think that Cummings won’t play a full 40 again, and I believe that he will get up enough shots and get to the foul line enough to get this total without much sweat.

Leg 3 – Blake Hinson 3+ 3PM (-165)

Hinson is not afraid to let it fly from beyond the arc, averaging over seven 3 point attempts per game, and shooting it at a 39% rate. Attacking the rim and shooting mid-range jumpers is not a recipe for success against this Cyclones defense and considering their 3 point shooting just led them past Mississippi State, I do not expect that gameplan to change. Look for Hinson to get up plenty of threes in this one, knocking down at least 3 of them.

Parlay Odds: +430

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