Kansas State vs. Kentucky: NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks (3/19)

Mar 19, 2023 - 1:34 PM

Check out our top same-game parlay for Sunday’s NCAA Tournament game between Kansas State vs. Kentucky.

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Sunday:

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2023 NCAA Tournament Guide (March Madness)

March Madness Round of 32 Same Game Parlay Bets

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

(3) Kansas State vs. (6) Kentucky

Leg 1 – Kansas State +2.5 (-105

The Kentucky Wildcats are sleepers to make the Final Four for many analysts. The season didn’t go as planned for Kentucky. But once the NCAA Tournament begins, every team has a new slate.

The Kentucky Wildcats have been tremendous offensively, scoring 35.2% from three and 50% from inside the arc. Kentucky could be better from inside the arc. However, the Kentucky Wildcats still earn 38.9% of offensive rebounds. That’s helped them add second chances and score more points. Kentucky also gets to the foul line at an above-average rate, and with Kansas State fouling at a high rate, Kentucky can do damage at the foul line. Kentucky shoots just 70.4% from the foul line, though.

On the other hand, Kansas State has nailed almost 34% from three, 52.4% from two, and 75% from the foul line. The offense won’t earn as many second chances but typically gets to the line more than Kentucky. Kansas State turns the ball over 20% of the time, but Kentucky isn’t going to earn a high rate of turnovers anyway. If Kansas State can limit turnovers and continue to get good looks inside, the Kansas State Wildcats should be able to at least cover in today’s game.

Leg 2 – Over 144.5 (-105

Kentucky’s offense isn’t amazing. But the second chances and potential points at the foul line should help Kentucky put up plenty of points in today’s game. Kansas State is weak on the defensive glass and also fouls at a very high rate. Kansas State has done well defending the three, but Kentucky doesn’t take a ton of threes, to begin with. Kentucky will get better looks from the field inside the arc.

On the other hand, Kentucky isn’t nearly as good on defense. Kentucky will do a better job keeping Kansas State off the offensive glass, but you’d figure that Kansas State shoots a higher percentage from the field in this game. Therefore, I’ll back the Over 144.5.

Leg 3 – Keyontae Johnson Over 16.5 Points (-122)

Johnson leads Kansas State with 17.7 points per game this season. His line is sitting at 16.5 points. I like this game to go over. So typically, the best players will do their jobs.

Johnson is a senior leader for the Kansas State Wildcats. He’s shooting 51.9% from the field this season. In Kansas State’s first game of the Tournament, Johnson added 18 points on 8-for-15 from the floor. He’s also had many recent games with 24 or more points.

Parlay Odds: +408

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