2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four Picks & Predictions

Mar 29, 2023 - 4:57 PM

It’s been a wild tournament, and as a result, there isn’t a No. 1 seed in the tournament for the first time since 2011. Two exciting games that could be unpredictable and memorable. Let’s look at the best bets for the Final Four.

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2023 NCAA Tournament Final Four Best Bets

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Miami (FL) vs. Connecticut (-5.5) | O/U 149.5 (-110/-110)

Here is the list of non-Big East teams that beat UConn this year.

Oh wait, there aren’t any.

UConn continued its non-conference dominance through the tournament, winning by an average of 23 points.

This team has scoring options both inside and out. No one has been able to contend with Adama Sanogo physically, and he’s feasted inside the paint.

Who’s been remarkable in the last two games is Jordan Hawkins. Over his previous two games, he has a combined 44 points, shooting 43% from the floor and 47% from three. The Huskies have the size advantage everywhere and will physically overpower Miami.

This doesn’t mean anything to Miami. They were able to mount a comeback against Texas and straight-up demolished Houston. They will hit their threes and get to the stripe. Connecticut doesn’t give up threes, but they do foul, so look for Miami to try and get to the line and force UConn into foul trouble.

It won’t be a double-digit win like both teams have had in this tournament, but I’m expecting both offenses to be out in force.

Pick: OVER 149.5

Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State (-2) | O/U 131.5 (-110/-110)

Florida Atlantic is officially the darlings of the tournament as the nine-seed makes it into the Final Four.

The thing is, including the tournament, the team has won 35 games. You must commend that feat, and it should matter whether or not they accomplished this in a power conference.

The Owls did it with depth, and having a fresh lineup that they can score with the country’s second-most bench points will certainly help. They will hit their threes, and if they don’t, look out for Vladislav Goldin cleaning up on the glass

Besides Goldin, FAU doesn’t have any size, and San Diego State will bring lots of it. The Aztecs have been tough as nails defensively throughout this tournament, with none more noteworthy than holding down Alabama’s seventh-best scoring offense to their third-lowest point total of the season.

SDSU is built on experience with upperclassmen throughout the lineup, so they know how to make adjustments, and this roster has built-in chemistry. They’ve learned to neutralize each team’s best attributes, and it’s propelled them all season.

Florida Atlantic should keep this matchup competitive early on, but the size and experience advantage will begin to show for San Diego State as they pull away late.

Pick: San Diego State (-2)

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