Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators Odds & Game Pick (2021)

Oct 26, 2021 - 10:48 AM

It’s been an absolute struggle for the Florida Gators in the last month. The Gators lost two games to Kentucky and LSU and looked lackadaisical, despite winning, against a really bad Vanderbilt team sandwiched between those two losses.

Now Florida will take on a number one team for the second time this year and play against the Georgia Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have been absolutely dominant and there are really no other words to describe this team right now. The defense has allowed less than a touchdown per game through seven games this season. It’s absurd.

However, Georgia hasn’t really faced really tough offensive opponents this season. Florida will be the biggest threat to Georgia from an offensive perspective. But will that be enough for the Gators to win this game, at home, in the Swamp, against the Bulldogs?

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Details

• Opening Line: Georgia -7 O/U 50.5
• Current Line: Georgia -14.5, O/U 51
• Last meeting: November 7, 2020, Florida 44, Georgia 28

Overview 

It’s going to be a crazy week in college football. There are so many great rivalries and games that can really produce upsets.

First, the Gators have a quarterback dilemma. Emory Jones, the starting quarterback for Florida has thrown for 10 touchdowns but also nine interceptions this season. Meanwhile, his backup quarterback, Anthony Richardson has looked better in-game but still continues to make errors in the worst spots.

It’s currently unclear which quarterback will get the start but either way, it’s going to be hard for Florida to move the ball through the air. The Gators are able to run the football and are rushing for 254.4 yards per game this season. Florida is literally averaging more rushing yards than passing yards this season. Still, altogether, the Gators have gained 501.9 yards per game.

This will be a challenge for Georgia after all on the defensive end. Georgia is allowing 6.6 points per game this season with just 207.1 yards per game allowed on the defensive end. The Bulldogs are an elite bunch and are easily the best defense in the nation.

On the offensive end, Georgia has two reliable quarterbacks who the Bulldogs believe are both equally has talented. Stetson Bennett has been getting his time to shine currently over JT Daniels and has thrown for 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions on the year.  It’s looking like Bennett will get the start moving forward even with Daniels healthy.

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Trends 

• Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight-up loss.
• Over is 5-0 in Gators last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Over is 5-0 in Gators last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Bottom Line 

Georgia has allowed just 6.6 points per game this season and just over 207 yards per game on the defensive end. However, Georgia’s biggest test from an offense will come from Florida. The Gators are averaging over 500 yards per game and 34.4 points per game.

Especially if Richardson gets the start, the Gators should be able to find ways to score. Richardson or Jones will also find ways to give a ball or two to Georgia but the reality is, they’ll find their way in the end zone a couple of times. If Florida is capable of three scores, then there’s a good chance the over hits with Georgia scoring 38.4 points per game.

Pick: Over 51 (-110)

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Jason Radowitz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive and follow him @Jason_Radowitz.

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