Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Ole Miss Rebels Odds & Game Pick (2021)

Nov 19, 2021 - 11:16 PM

Two SEC programs trending in opposite directions will meet Saturday night in Oxford as the #12 Ole Miss Rebels welcome to town the 2-8 Vanderbilt Commodores. For the Rebels, a chance at a New Year’s Day Six bowl is still very much in reach, and a statement win here followed by a win vs. Mississippi State next week would all but seal it.

Let’s take a closer look.

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Details

  • Opening Line: Rebels -36.5, O/U 64.5
  • Current Line: Rebels -36.5, O/U 65

Overview 

In what was another benchmark win of the Lane Kiffin era, the Rebels took down #11 Texas A&M last week (29-19) in a contest that their defense more than rose to the occasion. Allowing just 20 first downs on the day, the Rebels stymied a potent rushing attack, as their offense did its thing per usual putting up 500+ yards on the day.

As the season has gone on, Rebels quarterback Matt Corral has continued to build on his accomplishments, as his name now is being floated in multiple postseason award conversations in addition to the Heisman trophy.

For perennial SEC bottom-dweller Vanderbilt, things have been just as bad this year as they’ve lost five straight now to bring their SEC record to 0-6. A const carousel at quarterback hasn’t helped the situation much, as Ken Seals and Mike Write have split time between injuries and a lack of competence.

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Trends 

  • Rebels 5-0 to the Under in L5 games
  • Under 4-0 in Rebels L4 SEC games

Bottom Line

Losers of now 19-straight in the SEC, which includes two losses to the Rebels, things have reached a seemingly bottom for the Commodores. In addition to a defense that ranks near the bottom of the country in every major statistical category, the Commodores offense ranks 111th or lower in total yards, rushing yards, and passing yards per game; in addition to ranking #128 in total points scored at just 15.1.

In this one, I think we see the Rebels run up the score in a game they need to get all the style points they can.

Pick: Rebels -36.5

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