College Football Week 9 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Charlotte vs. Rice (2022)

Oct 27, 2022 - 2:27 PM

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 9 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Charlotte vs. Rice.

And check out the rest of our game previews for Week 9:

• Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
• Notre Dame vs. Syracuse
• Ohio State vs. Penn State
• Florida vs. Georgia
• Kentucky vs. Tennessee
• Michigan State vs. Michigan
• Stanford vs. UCLA
• Iowa State vs. Oklahoma
• Arizona State vs. Colorado
• Middle Tennessee vs. UTEP
• Louisville vs. Wake Forest
• North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
• Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss
• Iowa vs. Northwestern
• Miami (OH) vs. Akron
• TCU vs. West Virginia
• Illinois vs. Nebraska

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 9 Best Bets >>

College Football Week 9 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Charlotte vs. Rice

Nobody wants to back Charlotte after it has burned bettors all season and just fired HC Will Healy. But recent history suggests that Healy’s firing is good news for Charlotte’s prospects against the number, not bad.

Somewhere along the way, Healy’s message started to get tuned out. After he started 13-10 at the school, he finished 2-12 with a procession of blowout losses. Below are updated “dead-cat bounce” standings showing how Nebraska, Arizona State, Georgia Tech, Wisconsin, and Colorado cumulatively did against the number before and after firing their head coaches:

•Before firing HC: 4-16 ATS
•Since firing HC: 10-6 ATS
•Week after firing HC: 3-2 ATS with two outright upsets (both as +14.5-or-more ‘dogs)

And for whatever it’s worth: The NFL’s Carolina Panthers upset the Bucs 21-3 as 13-point underdogs on Sunday after firing Matt Rhule.

These results, in addition to my adjusted spread above showing value on the 49ers, suggest the Rice-Charlotte spread is a couple points too high. Especially since Rice, which plays at a snail’s pace, doesn’t exactly profile as a team you’d feel comfortable laying over three-possessions of points with. Rice has only beaten one FBS team by more than 12 the past three seasons.

The pick: Charlotte +17

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

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