NFL picks for Week 4

Sep 29, 2007 - 4:39 PM By Chris Palochko PA SportsTicker Staff Writer

If you are counting losses, I remained perfect on my best bets last week thanks to the San Diego Chargers making Brett Favre look like he did in the prime of his career.

The totals for the season are anything but pretty.

Season to Date: 5-9 Best Bets: 0-3

(Home team in caps)

1. (Best Bet) ARIZONA (+7) over Pittsburgh - Some coaching motivation here after both Ken Whisenhunt and Russ Grimm were passed up in favor of Mike Tomlin for the Pittsburgh job. Tomlin has the Steelers playing at an extremely high level, with their three wins coming by more than 23 points per game. The Steelers lose some firepower offensively this week as wide receiver Hines Ward is expected to miss the game with a knee injury. Matt Leinart, who was pulled in favor of Kurt Warner in last week's loss at Baltimore, is expected to start at quarterback for the Cardinals. Not only will the Cards cover, they figure out a way to win this game outright.

PICK: Arizona, 24-20

2. Chicago (-3) over DETROIT - Not having the turnover-prone Rex Grossman at quarterback should be an instant lift to the Bears. Brian Griese will stabilize the position. Believe it or not, the Bears may have just as many problems defensively as offensively right now due to a bevy of injuries. As evident by its 56-21 debacle at Philadelphia last week, Detroit also has an abundant amount of problems on the defensive side. The Lions, who score their fair share amount of points, also make plenty of problems on that side of the ball. Detroit has given up 13 sacks the last two weeks. Not a good sign, even if the Bears are banged up.

PICK: Chicago, 27-17

3. MINNESOTA (+3 1/2) over Green Bay - Despite their 3-0 record, the Packers have yet to make a believer out of me. This game again will be on the shoulders of Favre since the Packers have no running game. Plus, no one runs on the Vikings. In the comforts of their dome, the Vikings will surprise.

PICK: Minnesota, 19-17

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