NFL Best Bet for Broncos at Chiefs: Sunday Night Football (Week 13)

Dec 5, 2021 - 9:53 PM

If you’re like me, you fall victim to the Sunday scaries every week. The crushing reality of work yet-to-be-done starts to sink in sometime in the afternoon, and it’ll ruin the rest of the day if you let it. Fortunately, it doesn’t have to — just change the channel to ESPN! It’s much easier to procrastinate with Sunday Night Football occupying your attention.

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Noah Fant o35.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at PointsBet

Fant is a key part of Denver’s passing game. He ranks second on the team in total targets (63) and is tied for first in total receptions (45). While other, faster players can generate more yards than him, Fant’s 391 receiving yards ranks third on the team, and he generates roughly 8.7 yards per catch. That suggests this line will require him to catch about four passes. Notably, PointsBet has set the betting line for his receptions at 4.5, not 3.5.

We’re targeting Fant here because the Chiefs have struggled against opposing tight ends. They have allowed 696 receiving yards to the position this year, good for 63.3 per game, the fourth-highest rate in the NFL. They have done so on just 59 total catches by the position, meaning tight ends average 13.1 yards per catch against the Chiefs.

Since joining the Broncos in 2019, Noah Fant has recorded at least 36 receiving yards in all but one meeting with the Chiefs — his first. Since that ill-fated outing, Fant has averaged 50.3 yards per game against Kansas City. We don’t need him to clear that threshold to cash this prop, and I feel comfortable betting on Fant to finish with his typical numbers against the Chiefs, especially since the Broncos will probably have to play from behind.

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Isaiah Sirois is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Isaiah, check out his archive and follow him @is_sirois.

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