Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Preview: Odds, Picks & Best Bet (2022)

Jul 19, 2022 - 10:30 AM

The summer is here, and the start of the NFL season will be here before we know it. Now is the time to start digging into NFL futures, both team futures and player futures. NFL futures can be great ways to profit during the upcoming season. We’ll have you covered throughout the offseason with updated news and odds for all futures and Week 1 odds. Let’s take a look at updated 2022 NFL team win totals and futures odds.

Team Betting Previews

NFL Futures Odds

Check out our NFL Futures Betting Guide >>

What are Team Futures?

Futures refers to any team-based wager for a future event or a result. These bets often do not pay out until weeks or even months from when they are initially placed. Bets for win totals and the Super Bowl winner are good examples of team futures bets.

Green Bay Packers Super Bowl Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
+1000
+1200
+1200
+1000
+1100
+1000
+1000
+1000

 

The biggest concern publicly for the Green Bay Packers is the loss of Davante Adams. I am not trying to say that Adams is not a great player and not important to Green Bay. Still, Randy Moss, Julio Jones, A.J. Green, Calvin Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald and Antonio Brown have all proven this century that great wide receiver play does not guarantee championships.

The old football adage quoted from Bear Bryant is “defense wins championships.”

The Green Bay Packers have only had a top-10 defense once in the Aaron Rodgers era. That year was the last time the Packers brought the Lombardi Trophy back to Title Town.

The Packers’ defense was average in most defensive categories last year, so while there is no guarantee that they will reach the level of a top-10 defense in 2022, they will be adding at all three levels of the defense.

Jaire Alexander is returning from injury. He’ll be completing arguably the best cornerback trio in the league with Eric Stokes and Rasul Douglas who combined gave up a passer rating below 70.0 when targeted in coverage last year. The corners are joined by PFF’s league’s best-graded safety over the past two seasons in Adrian Amos and former first-round pick Darnell Savage.

In the middle of defense Green Bay has added first-round rookie out of college football’s national championship Georgia team, Quay Walker, at linebacker to play next to 2021 All Pro De’Vondre Campbell.

Up front, they added a second Georgia Bulldog in the first round in Devonte Wyatt to play next to Kenny Clark in the middle with Rashan Gary and Preston Smith on the outside.

Every single player I’ve mentioned is either a first-round pick or a free agent who ended up signing a big contract. Green Bay has invested heavily in its defense, and 2022 can be the year they get the return on investment they are looking for by bringing the Lombardi home once again.

At +1000, the Green Bay Packers’ Super Bowl odds is a bet for me.

Green Bay Packers Conference Winner Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
+450
+550
+500
+450
+475
+450
+450
+450

 

Of all the Green Bay Packers’ team future bets, the Conference Winner is my least favorite. The NFC is a lot weaker than the AFC this year, and the Packers are expected to be one of the best teams in the conference. Still, it’s hard to give them the edge against Tampa Bay playing in the NFC South. The teams there are led by some combination of Jameis Winston, Ian Book, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Matt Corral, Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder. Nor should we count out the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West with quarterback changes in Seattle and San Francisco.

Even at +450, the Conference Winner bet is one I would stay away from.

Green Bay Packers Division Winner Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
-165
-165
-170
-190
-180
-182
-182
-182

 

The Green Bay Packers’ division winner odds of -165 are priced as the third lowest division winner odds after the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-300) and the Buffalo Bills (-200). All three of these make the case that if Tom Brady, Josh Allen & Aaron Rodgers stay healthy, they should win their respective divisions.

When considering the competition, it appears the consensus is that Tampa is by far the strongest team against their division rivals, and that seems fair. Yet, the odds imply that Buffalo is stronger against the Patriots, Dolphins and Jets than the Packers are against the Lions, Bears & Vikings.

It looks like there is some value here. We can expect to see a big step forward from the Lions this year, but a division win would be a massive step forward.  The Chicago Bears are also in a complete tear-it-down rebuild.

The odds appear to be assuming the Minnesota Vikings can take a step forward after replacing their coach and general manager this offseason. The Vikings haven’t won the division since 2017 when Case Keenum led them there while Aaron Rodgers was sidelined with a broken collarbone. I’ll believe in a Kirk Cousins NFC North title when I see it. Until then, betting the Packers to win the division feels like betting whether or not Aaron Rodgers will get hurt.

At -165, I love the Green Bay Packers division winner bet.

Green Bay Packers Win Totals Over/Under Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
OVER
o11.0
-110
o10.5
-145
o10.5
-160
o11.0
-110
o11.5
+110
o11.0
-110
o11.0
-110
o11.0
-110
UNDER
u11.0
-110
u10.5
+120
u10.5
+135
u11.0
-110
u11.5
-130
u11.0
-110
u11.0
-110
u11.0
-110

 

You can still get the Green Bay Packers over/under win total of 10.5 at BetMGM (-145) and FanDuel (-165). The over is absolutely the bet if Aaron Rodgers stays healthy.

The opponents for the Packers this year are; Minnesota, Chicago and Detroit twice each. If we go conservative and say losses at Minnesota and Detroit, that has the Packers at 4-2 within the division.

Then they play NFC East. Again, if we go conservative and say they go 2-2 with losses at the Eagles and at home against the Cowboys, the Packers would sit at 6-4.

The Packers also play the AFC East. A conservative approach of 2-2, with road losses to the Bills and Dolphins, puts the Packers at 8-6.

The remaining games are two home games against the Rams and Titans and a road game against the Buccaneers. Going conservative once again and say the Packers go 1-2 in these games, and the Packers finish with a 9-8 record.

Going as conservative as possible, and we are two games under the win total. All the Packers would need to do to hit the over would be to find two wins against Minnesota, Detroit, Philadelphia, Dallas, Buffalo, Miami, Los Angeles Rams or Tampa Bay.

Matt Lafleur has won 13 games as head coach in Green Bay every season, hitting the over each time. Until he misses, the lean will always be towards the over on the regular season win total.

Green Bay Packers to Make the Playoffs Odds

PARTICIPANTS AND SELECTIONS
YES
-500
-450
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500
-500
NO
+350
+333
+360
+350
+350
+370
+370
+370

 

The odds are juiced way too high (-500) to bet the Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs, whether it is because of how good Green Bay is or how bad the NFC is.

Favorite Green Bay Packers Futures Bet

NFC North Winners (-165)

At BettingPros, consensus -165 odds for the Green Bay Packers to win the NFC North feels like free money if Aaron Rodger stays healthy.

Matthew Freedman’s Best Bets After the 2022 NFL Draft >>

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