NFL Week 4 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

Oct 1, 2022 - 6:01 PM

Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone by scoring a touchdown this Sunday (excludes the Sunday night game).

NFL Week 4 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

• Alvin Kamara
• Anytime TD Odds: +130 (DraftKings)

Kamara returned last week after missing a week due to an injury. He ended with 15 rushes and 7 targets while playing 70% of the snaps. This may not be the Kamara of prior seasons, but he is still seeing a healthy amount of touches in a favorable matchup at home. The Vikings gave up two touchdowns on the ground last week to the Lions and have given up 44 yards per game through the air to RBs.

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Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons

• Kyle Pitts
• Anytime TD Odds: +175 (FanDuel)

The Falcons finally used Pitts like the receiver many expected in Week 3. He finished with team-highs in targets (8), catches (5), and yards (87) in the win over Seattle last week. He has not found the end this season, after only scoring one TD as a rookie last year. That said, this game is the second-highest total on the slate and last week indicates that Pitts will be featured in the offense moving forward.

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Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

• Tony Pollard
• Anytime TD Odds: +170 (DraftKings)

Pollard and Elliott split reps last week and both were effective en route to 178 rushing yards combined. Pollard continues to be the most efficient, averaging a ridiculous 8.1 yards per attempt last week. They also split red zone opportunities, although Zeek handled both carries within the 5-yard line. The Commanders defense is allowing 5.4 yards per carry, 3rd worst in the league, meaning Pollard will have opportunities to break a long gain for a TD this week.

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Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens

• Dawson Knox
• Anytime TD Odds: +175 (DraftKings)

Regression has hit Knox after scoring nine touchdowns on 49 receptions last year. That said, zero touchdowns through three weeks on a prolific Bills offense is surprising. I think Knox gets off the schneid in the week’s highest total game. The Ravens have given up touchdowns to TEs in two of three games this season. 

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Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans

• Austin Ekeler
• Anytime TD Odds: -105 (DraftKings)

Ekeler has been held out of the end zone through the first three weeks. Coming off four rushes for five yards against the Jags, I think the Texans provide the perfect get-right spot for Ekeler. The Texans gave up 157 yards and two touchdowns on the ground to Khalil Herbert a week ago. This is against a Bears team who is not even trying to throw the ball and the Texans still couldn’t stop it. 

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Chicago Bears at New York Giants

• Saquon Barkley
• Anytime TD Odds: -150 (FanDuel)

The Bears are only behind the Texans in terms of rushing yards given up this season. They now have a matchup with Saquon Barkley, after giving up rushing touchdowns to Aaron Jones and Dameon Pierce the last two weeks. Saquon looks completely healthy this year and has already notched two rushing touchdowns this season. There won’t be many games that the Giants are favored this season, so I would look to take advantage of the likely positive game script for Saquon this week.

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Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions

• Jamaal Williams
• Anytime TD Odds: -130 (DraftKings)

This one looks very obvious on paper. Jamaal Williams comes into this matchup tied for the league lead in rushing touchdowns. He looks to have a larger workload, outside of his typical red zone duties, with D’Andre Swift likely sidelined. To add on, the Seahawks defense is one of the worst in the league, fresh off of letting Cordarrelle Patterson scamper for 141 yards and a touchdown last week.

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles

• A.J. Brown
• Anytime TD Odds: +130 (FanDuel)

The Jaguars have been a pleasant surprise this season but their secondary has been susceptible. They have given up five receiving touchdowns, including four to Carson Wentz in Week 1. A.J. Brown has been a high volume receiver having received 31 targets from Jalen Hurts. He caught his first touchdown last week against Washington and I think Hurts will find Brown in the end zone again in this surprisingly exciting matchup.

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Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

• Jonathan Taylor
• Anytime TD Odds: -165 (DraftKings)

Taylor has gone scoreless in back-to-back games, something he has not done since Week 3 of last season. Regardless of the matchup, you would expect Taylor to find the end zone this week. The matchup itself only adds to the argument. The Titans have given up a league-high 5.8 yards per carry to opposing rushers this season. This includes 164 yards and one touchdown to Saquon in Week 1. Taylor, who is averaging over 20 rushing attempts per game, will have plenty of opportunity to match Saquon’s week 1 totals.

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New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers

• Diontae Johnson
• Anytime TD Odds: +150 (FanDuel)

The Jets are giving up two touchdowns on average to wide receivers through three weeks. It is clear Trubisky has been locked on to Diontae Johnson, who has yet to score. He has double the targets versus the next closest wide receiver, Chase Claypool. The Steelers are not a prolific passing team, but the Jets secondary has proven vulnerable through three weeks.

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Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers

• Zach Ertz
• Anytime TD Odds: +250 (FanDuel)

Ertz continues to be a vital part of the slow-starting Cardinals offense. He leads the team in red zone looks and is second only behind Marquise Brown in total targets. Carolina has been strong against TEs this year, but Ertz should continue to be heavily involved this week with A.J. Green likely out.

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Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders

• Courtland Sutton
• Anytime TD Odds: +165 (DraftKings)

Sutton comes into this game averaging over 10 targets and 100 yards over the last two games. He has yet to find the end zone but was tackled at the 5 yard line last week. While in the red zone, Sutton has garnered four targets so it seems a matter of time before Russell Wilson connects with Sutton.

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New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers

• Robert Tonyan
• Anytime TD Odds: +175 (DraftKings)

Tonyan’s participation in the offense has increased each week as he works himself back from a torn ACL last season. Last week, he was heavily involved in the passing game, registering six catches on seven targets, which trailed only Romeo Doubs. It was only two seasons ago that Tonyan was one of Rodgers go-to targets in the red zone, scoring 11 touchdowns in 2020. The Patriots have already given up four touchdowns to tight ends this year as well.

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