Top MLB No Runs First Inning (NRFI) Picks & Odds for Marlins vs. Cardinals Wednesday (6/29)

Jun 29, 2022 - 4:00 PM

Let’s take a look at some No Runs First Inning prop bet odds and picks for today’s game: Marlins vs. Cardinals.

Top MLB No Runs First Inning (NRFI) Picks & Odds: Marlins vs. Cardinals

Today is a good day. Why? Well, any day Sandy Alcantara gets to pitch is a good day! If the season ended right now, the 26-year-old would likely be the NL Cy Young award winner and has established himself as arguably a top-five pitcher in the game.

Averaging 7.07 innings per start this season, Alcantara’s volume is absurd. Yet, the efficiency is tremendous as well. Although he doesn’t strike batters out at an elite level, a 23% strikeout rate can more than get the job done, especially when you’re not walking hitters (6.9% BB) and induce ground balls at an impressive 55.9% clip. Limit base-runners? Check. Allow as few home runs as any pitcher in baseball? Check; expect another stellar performance here.

It’s a bit murkier on the other side, as we don’t have a length sample size of Cardinals starter Andre Pallante, whose 4.9% K-BB isn’t particularly enticing. What the 23-year-old does, however, is induce ground balls at an absurd rate (63.4% GB), leading to a projected HR/9 by THE BAT of just 0.86. That simple fact alone makes him easy to trust, especially behind a solid Cardinals defense and a Marlins offense that only ranks 18th in on-base percentage this season.

With the long ball not being a factor here, especially in the third-most pitcher-friendly stadium in baseball, according to Baseball Savant, all signs point to a very low-scoring affair here. Where does that start? In the first inning, of course! In a slate with some likely higher-scoring affairs, betting on no runs being scored here is clearly the top value of the day. From there, sit back, and watch the Sandy show.

Bet: Marlins at Cardinals NRFI (-113 on FanDuel)

Best Player Prop Bet Rankings for Marlins vs. Cardinals

What are Player Props?
Player props refer to wagers that bettors can make based on player performance in a specific game. The majority of player props are built around the most common statistical benchmarks for a specific sport such as yards and touchdowns in football. Most player props are straight over/under plays that open at or near -110 and are adjusted based on where the money lands.

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