Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Saturday, July 2 (2022)

Jul 2, 2022 - 3:04 PM

After a 2-1 day yesterday, we’ll look to continue with our momentum in today’s slate.

I’ve added my top three bets for a filled day of baseball, with games being played at all times! Here it goes!

(Odds courtesy DraftKings)


Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants

Last night, the White Sox and Giants combined for one run. Today, I’m expecting something similar to that.

The White Sox will send Dylan Cease, who has been tremendous in the last 30 days. He’s earned an xFIP of 2.7o in that timeframe while striking out 39.8% of batters. He’s also limited power very well and will take on a Giants lineup that has struck out 23.8% of the time in that same time frame using their projected lineup.

Meanwhile, Logan Webb will take the hill for the Giants with a 3.29 xFIP in the last 30 days. He’s averaging 25.8% of strikeouts and will take on a White Sox team with a .121 ISO, wOBA of .316, and a strikeout rate of 21.6% with their projected lineup in the last 30 days against righties.

The White Sox haven’t been consistent at the plate all year. Nothing will change against Logan Webb. I’ll take the under between two elite pitchers.

Bet: Under 7.5 (-120 at DraftKings

Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros

Any time you find a solid price on the Astros at home, you’ve got to consider it.

The Angels will send out left-handed pitcher Patrick Sandoval, who has a 5.00 xFIP in the last 30 days. He’s also walked 10% of batters in that time frame while allowing 28.8% of line-drive contact when balls are batted into play.

The Astros could have Yordan Alvarez back in the lineup today. If he returns, his bat would only benefit an already terrific lineup, hitting a .219 ISO and wOBA of .356 against lefties in the last 30 days.

Meanwhile, Jose Urquidy will take the bump for the Astros. He has a high xFIP in the last 30 days of 5.16 but has a BABIP of .193. He’s not letting many runners get on base and is ultimately getting beat up with power. But a solo shot from Mike Trout won’t kill the Astros chances.

Trout and Ohtani are all the Angels have.

Take the Astros on the moneyline.

Bet: Astros (-150 at DraftKings)

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies

The Over for this game is set at 12.5, and I like it.

We’ll have two struggling lefties on the mound for tonight’s game. Austin Gomber will make another start for the Rockies. In the last 30 days, he has a 5.71 xFIP and has been rocked by righties, allowing a .462 wOBA and an ISO of .338. Even lefties have an ISO of .217 against Gomber.

Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks should have seven righties in the lineup and already have a wOBA of .365 in the last 30 days against lefties using the projected lineup/ Christian Walker and Jordan Luplow are two bats to watch out for.

On the other hand, Dallas Keuchel will get the start for Arizona. On the season, he has a 5.79 xFIP. He switched teams from the Chicago White Sox to the Arizona Diamondbacks after being designated for assignment by the White Sox for not performing.

The Rockies have a .345 wOBA against lefties in the last 30 days with their projected lineup and have struck out in just 16.5% of plate appearances.

I’m taking the Over 12.5 here.

Bet: Over 12.5 (-105 at DraftKings)


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