Top MLB No Runs First Inning (NRFI) Picks & Odds for Mariners vs. Padres Tuesday, July 5 (2022)

Jul 5, 2022 - 2:46 PM

Let’s take a look at some No Runs First Inning prop bet odds and picks for today’s game: Mariners vs. Padres.

Top MLB No Runs First Inning (NRFI) Picks & Odds: Mariners vs. Padres

The Mariners took game one of this series dominantly and will now turn to the best pitcher on their staff, right-hander Logan Gilbert. Gilbert has had an impeccable sophomore season thus far as he enters this start with a 2.66 ERA while holding a 1.12 WHIP and has racked up almost a strikeout per inning. His underlying metrics say that he is due to regress as he’s in the bottom ten percent of the league in average exit velocity and hard-hit rate, but his ability to miss barrels seems to be saving him.

Gilbert is in the top 35 percent in barrel rate allowed. His stuff is tremendous, allowing him to get away with more mistakes than others. While it may seem like a fluke, Gilbert has only given up more than three runs in a start twice this year. In addition, he’s been even better in the first inning this season. The Mariners’ righty has only allowed two runs in the first inning all season and has struck out at over a batter per inning. Going against a lineup that has been cold lately and is 23rd in first-inning runs scored per game means all signs point to a quiet bottom of the first.

The top half may move even smoother as Mike Clevinger will get the ball for San Diego. Sunshine has been outstanding for the Padres this season. He’ll enter this afternoon’s outing with a 2.79 ERA and dominant underlying metrics. Clevinger is in the top 25 percent of the majors in average exit velocity, hard-hit, and barrel rates. His arsenal of six pitches has kept hitters off-balance as he has an xBA of just .231 and a strikeout rate amongst the top 30 percent of all qualified pitchers. Just like his counterpart, he’s been impeccable in the first inning. Clevinger has allowed just one run in the first inning all season, and it was on a solo homer. If he can get past Julio Rodriguez, the odds of him keeping the Mariners off the board will increase drastically. So get a piece of this afternoon’s action and take the NRFI here.

Pick: NRFI -118

Best Player Prop Bet Rankings for Mariners vs. Padres

What are Player Props?
Player props refer to wagers that bettors can make based on player performance in a specific game. The majority of player props are built around the most common statistical benchmarks for a specific sport such as yards and touchdowns in football. Most player props are straight over/under plays that open at or near -110 and are adjusted based on where the money lands.

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