Twins busy; trade Urshela, acquire Farmer, tender Pagán

Nov 19, 2022 - 3:06 AM

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Where the off-season in the NBA and NFL are often filled with urgent flurries of transactions right from the jump, the baseball off-season tends to be more of a slow burn. Within that, though, are certain days on the winter calendar that tend to spur many small transactions. Today, the deadline for teams to tender contract offers to their arbitration-eligible players, is usually one of those days and it especially was for the Twins.

The day began with the Twins’ new look's big reveal and stayed busy until the early evening with contract offer decisions and a couple of trades that swapped around some infield pieces and moved some prospect pitchers.

Entering the off-season, the Twins had twelve players headed for arbitration:

Gio Urshela, Emilio Pagán, Tyler Mahle, Caleb Thielbar, Jorge López, Danny Coulombe, Chris Paddack, Jake Cave, Luis Arráez, Cody Stashak, Jorge Alcalá, and Kyle Garlick

After a few weeks of roster machinations, seven of those players remain arbitration eligible:

Including Kyle Garlick, who reached a deal with the club for 2023 earlier this week, eight of those players remain with the Minnesota organization.

LHP Danny Coulombe and RHP Cody Stashak both elected minor league free agency after clearing waivers and being outrighted. OF Jake Cave was waived and subsequently claimed by the Baltimore Orioles, who then avoided arbitration and signed Cave to a split contract for 2023.

If you’re doing the math, that leaves just third baseman Gio Urshela from the original twelve. Urshela was seen as a potential non-tender candidate because of his projected $9.2M arbitration salary for 2023 and the emergence of José Miranda in the same position. But, with a historically weak third base market in free agency, letting Urshela go for free seemed undesirable, leading others to see the most likely course of action to be a trade.

That latter group was proven correct earlier today when the Twins agreed to a trade that sent Urshela to the Los Angeles Angels:

The trade created an opening on what had been a full 40-man roster because the return, Venezuelan RHP Alejandro Hidalgo, is a 19-year-old prospect who pitched last season in Low-A. Hidalgo was ranked as the Angels’ 11th-best prospect by FanGraphs before last season and was listed as their 22nd-best prospect by MLB Pipeline earlier today. He’s been added to the Twins list at #25 with praise for his “advanced pitchability at times, especially for his age.”

It’s become a bit of a trend for some of the more analytically inclined MLB organizations — particularly Cleveland (see Shane Bieber) and Seattle (George Kirby) — to target young pitchers with pitching and command acumen, but perhaps less than premium stuff, and then work to increase the quality of their stuff through data analysis and pitch design work. Perhaps this move will be along those lines for Minnesota. Time will tell.

If you looked closely at the list of players above that the Twins tendered contracts to today, you surely noticed that it included one Emilio Pagán.

(pause for groans, boos, and items being thrown)

Despite the facts that Pagán ranks 29th in appearances and 22nd in innings pitched but 136th in fWAR and HR/9, 128th in FIP, and 140th in WPA, among 141 qualified relievers from 2020-2022, he was apparently an attractive target on the trade market today:

Even with the apparent interest, the Twins did not find a deal to their liking and decided to hang on to Pagán for at least a bit longer.

Just as we were all recovering from our collective disappointment about that, word broke that the Twins had made another trade:

Kyle Farmer, 32, is one of those rare players that has successfully moved up the defensive spectrum as his career has progressed. He debuted with the Dodgers in 2016 as a catcher/corner infielder but has primarily played a passable shortstop and third base for the Reds the past couple of seasons.

As a multi-position, right-hander hitter with strong numbers against left-handed pitching (career .288/.345/.492, 122 wRC+) that can play up the middle a little bit, Farmer’s flexibility offers a marginal improvement over Urshela’s fit with the Twins roster. By fWAR, Farmer (3.3) has a small edge over Urshela (3.1) in the past two seasons, albeit in 32 more games played.

Farmer is arbitration-eligible for the second time and is projected to earn $5.9M through that process. Against Urshela’s projected mark, this move serves to free up about $3.3M in payroll space. To acquire Farmer, the Twins gave up RHP Casey Legumina, their #27 prospect, who was just added to the 40-man roster earlier this week.

So, to sum it all up, the Twins' 40-man roster currently sits at 39 players. It includes Emilio Pagán and Kyle Farmer but does not include Gio Urshela or Casey Legumina and it is now projected to cost about $3.3M less than it did at the start of the day.

Those cost savings might not seem important, but $3.3M is more than enough to add a quality free-agent reliever to the bullpen mix. Or, you know, they could also be used as part of an offer to a certain free-agent shortstop:

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John is a writer for Twinkie Town and Pitcher List with an emphasis on analysis. He is a lifelong Twins fan and former college pitcher. You can follow him on Twitter @JohnFoley_21.