UFC 276: Top Method of Victory Odds & Picks (2022)

Jun 30, 2022 - 10:37 AM

It should be another night of terrific fights at the T-Mobile Arena on Saturday, as UFC 276 features two title fights at the top and plenty of great action in the build-up. With the abundance of action, there’s no shortage of enticing UFC prop bets for bettors to get down on.

Let’s look at a few I’m already on this week.

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

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Jim Miller (34-16-0) vs. Donald Cerrone (36-16-0)

When these two legends of the fight game step into the octagon on Saturday night, they’ll be doing so with a combined 102 professional fights. In what may be both of their last opportunity on a pay-per-view card, father time has caught up with both, but no one more than “Cowboy” Cerrone.

In fact, you have to go all the way back to May 2019 (seven fights ago) for the last time Cowboy found victory, a decision win vs. Al Laquinta. Of his six losses since, four have gone by way of KO/TKO, with three coming in the very first round.

That aligns poorly with Miller’s recent run, knocking out two straight opponents in the second round, coming into Saturday with a 50% striking accuracy. Lastly, after battling one injury after another and having some bad luck with opponents, it’s been over 400 days since Cowboy last fought, making ring rust a factor as well.

While both fighters are on their way out, I think Miller still has some slugfest ahead of him and see this one ending inside the distance with Miller’s hand raised in the end.

Bet: Jim Miller To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (+300)

Israel Adesanya (22-1-0) vs. Jared Cannonier (15-5-0)

While Cannonier would be wise to take this one to the ground, holding slight edges in submission and takedowns, this will turn into a striking clinic early and often. Unfortunately for the challenger, Adesanya is one of the best in the world at maintaining distance, and his size advantage in this fight will make that relatively easier than usual.

Despite being successfully defending his middleweight belt five times thus far since winning it in late 2019, only twice has Adesanya done it inside the distance. Additionally, since joining the UFC in 2015, Cannonier has lost inside the distance just two times, with both coming in the very first round and his last coming in 2018.

If Cannonier can escape the first, which I expect him to do given his caliber, I like for this fight to drag on into the later rounds and for Izzy to get the decision win.

Bet: Israel Adesanya To Win By Decision (+120)

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