NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (11/30)

Nov 30, 2022 - 12:53 PM

As the holiday season gets into full swing, there isn’t any other better way to celebrate than some consistent winnings from these NBA props. It’s been a solid season so far, so let’s try to keep the winning ways going. Here are my favorite same-game parlays for tonight’s games.

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All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets

• Leg 1: Jamal Murray UNDER 18.5 points (+100)
• Leg 2: Aaron Gordon UNDER 14.5 points (+105)
• Leg 3: Nikola Jokic UNDER 25.5 points (+100)

Put simply, the point totals of the Nuggets players are over-inflated tonight, despite facing a Rockets team where they are favored by 11.5 points.

With the blowout potential, I don’t see all three of those players spending as much time on the court as usual. Now obviously, it would only be a blowout if Denver is scoring at a high rate, but production can come from a lot of reserves here too.

At +850, this is one of the riskier SGPs but the value is too high to pass up. I’m not one to usually bet a trifecta of unders either, so quite the rare parlay for me.

Parlay Odds: +850

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Leg 1: Donovan Mitchell OVER 4.5 assists (+105)
• Leg 2: De’Anthony Melton UNDER 12.5 points (-115)
• Leg 3: Evan Mobley UNDER 10.5 rebounds (+110)

With Joel Embiid back, I am a bit surprised by some of the props for today’s game. I wouldn’t expect Melton’s point total to be so high, along with Mobley’s rebounds. In his first game back, Embiid played over 35 minutes and had a 36 percent usage rate, so he is going to be a heavy factor tonight.

Melton has been playing well over the last two weeks, averaging just shy of 15 points per game in that time span, but he should regress to his season-long 11 points per game now. And with Mobley challenging Embiid in the paint, I can’t imagine the USC product bringing down as many boards as the books project him to.

The BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet identifies Mitchell’s over-assists total as one of the best values on the slate at +38 percent expected value. I’m trusting the projections here for my third parlay leg.

Parlay Odds: +675

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Indiana Pacers vs. Sacramento Kings

• Leg 1: Domantas Sabonis OVER 18.5 points (+105)
• Leg 2: De’Aaron Fox OVER 5.5 assists (-120)
• Leg 3: Jalen Smith OVER 10.5 points (-105)

Bring on the scoring!

With an over/under sitting at 239, most players will have to hit their scoring props to reach that number. Both teams rank in the top half in pace and both teams rank in the bottom half in defense, meaning I expect lots of points to go along with extra possessions. 

Sacramento’s assist rate is tied for fourth highest in the league. They run sets that are friendly to the facilitators on the teams, Fox included. This is not only the SGP I’m most excited to follow, but feel most confident about as well.

Parlay Odds: +575

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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.

 

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