Updated Duke vs. Cal State Fullerton Odds, Spread, Pick & Predictions for 2022 NCAA Tournament

Mar 14, 2022 - 12:20 AM

Duke Blue Devils vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans 2022 NCAA Tournament Game Preview

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• Duke Blue Devils Spread: -17.5
• Cal State Fullerton Titans Spread: +17.5
• Duke Blue Devils Moneyline: -3300
• Cal State Fullerton Titans Moneyline: +1400
• Game Over/Under: 143.5

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Duke Blue Devils vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans Match Up Overview

	CSU Fullerton	Duke
Conference	Big West	ACC
W-L	21-10	28-6
AdjEM	148th	12th
AdjO	144th	7th
AdjD	164th	44th
Tempo	239th	150th
eFG%	217th	15th
TO%	152nd	17th
OR%	148th	62nd
FTR	48th	233rd
DeFG%	216th	47th
DTO%	76th	303rd
DR%	173rd	210th
DFTR	67th	2nd
Luck	93rd	204th

 
Stats via KenPom.

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Duke Blue Devils Preview

For a team as ridiculously talented as this Duke squad is, their underachievement this season is shocking. A team with this many five-star recruits, the potential No. 1 pick in the NBA draft, and head coach Mike Krzyzewski should have been a 1 seed.

Instead, Duke ended up on the 2-line with some pretty tough losses – two in Quad II plus a Quad III loss as well. The Blue Devils had impressive wins against Kentucky and Gonzaga. Buut both of those wins were in November, and Duke seems to only have gotten worse since.

This team is incredibly young (343rd in the nation in age), and their nerves seemed to show in Coach K’s last game in Cameron Indoor. That high-stakes, high-intensity atmosphere will repeat itself in every tournament game. I am not confident this team can handle the pressure, especially after a down year for the ACC brought down their strength of schedule. If Duke can put it all together and continue to force turnovers, the sky’s the limit. The Blue Devils are the only ones who will hold themselves back in March.

Cal State Fullerton Titans Preview

The Titans of the Big West are the epitome of average. They rank 144th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 164th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Cal State Fullerton prefers to shoot from inside the arc, with only 24% of their points coming from deep.

E.J. Anosike transferred from Tennessee and was named Newcomer of the Year in the Big West. The 6-7 forward rebounds on both ends of the floor and draws fouls at a high clip. His MVP-type performance led this crew to a conference tournament victory over the Big West’s top-seeded Long Beach State.

CSU Fullerton is one of the worst defensive 3p% squads in the nation, allowing opponents to shoot at a 37% clip. For this team to perform well in the tournament, Anosike has to go nuclear, and they need to face a team without top-of-the-line interior defense.

Rapid Prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans

No. 2 Duke vs. No. 15 CS Fullerton Duke getting the No. 2 seed might be surprising to some as they started to slide from the regular-season finale home loss to North Carolina to their loss to Virginia Tech in the ACC Finals. The weakness of the Blue Devils recently has been their three-point defense, as they’ve allowed opponents to shoot over 38% in the last four games. CS Fullerton was average this year by shooting 33% percent from deep, with just guard Damari Milstead shooting over that average. Even though the No. 2 seed has been a bad omen in the past for Duke, they should get it done in the first round.

Duke Blue Devils vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans Round 1 Game Pick

Duke -18

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