Top College Basketball Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday, January 24th (2023)

Jan 24, 2023 - 11:27 AM

Kansas being dealt its second-worst home loss in the Bill Self era (83-60 to TCU) and Arizona staying alive for a Pac-12 regular-season title with a home win over UCLA were some of the weekend’s highlights around the college basketball landscape.

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings)

Here are our best bets for Tuesday’s college basketball action.

YTD (as of 1/21): 1-2

And check out our other top picks for Tuesday:

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Best College Basketball Bets for Tuesday

Ohio State vs. Illinois Spread

Entering Ohio State’s last game against Iowa, the Buckeyes had lost five consecutive games, and suddenly questions about its roster had it in serious jeopardy of dropping six straight. Sean McNeil was questionable because of emergency dental work, and Justice Sueing was relegated to the bench after recent struggles, and those two are two of their top-four scorers. However, the Buckeyes got ten points apiece from both players en route to a 16-point rout of Iowa, and their 93 points were 20 more than they had scored in any Big Ten game this season. Illinois has looked vulnerable in two separate 15-point home losses to Penn State and Indiana, and the Buckeyes’ shooting prowess (Big Ten-best 41.8% from 3-point range in league play) has had them due for positive regression for quite some time.

The underdog and road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams. In addition, four of Ohio State’s five losses in its recent losing streak were by four or fewer points, and we’re looking for its beatdown of Iowa to spur a winning streak.

Bet: Ohio State +4 (-110 at DraftKings) 

Missouri vs. Mississippi ML

Ole Miss lost all three meetings with Missouri last year, but one can more easily dismiss those losses as they were with Cuonzo Martin coaching the Tigers and not Dennis Gates. The Rebels have lost seven of eight games, but three were by four or fewer points. Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the offensive glass, rebounding 33.8% of its misses (41st), while Missouri allows offensive rebounds at the 359th-worst rate in the country. In addition, the Rebels’ solid interior defense (44.8% allowed from 2-point range is 25th-best) should negate Missouri’s biggest offensive strength (seventh-best 2-point shooting team).

The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams, and Missouri has covered just one of its previous four this season.

Bet: Mississippi ML (-120 at DraftKings)

Kansas State vs. Iowa State O/U

Iowa State is the country’s seventh-best team in adjusted defensive efficiency and the Division I leader in turnovers forced (28.4%). That is a big reason the Cyclones are the Big 12 leaders in scoring defense (58.6 points per game allowed) by a wide margin. In addition, Kansas State is the perfect opponent for the style of defense the Cyclones want to play. The Wildcats are a rim-reliant team that ranks in the top 16 in close shot rate (per Haslam), and Iowa State allows the 350th-lowest percentage of opponents’ points to come inside the arc. Thus, Kansas State’s lead guard tandem of Markquis Nowell and Keyontae Johnson will not be able to penetrate as often as they would like, and the Wildcats rank outside the top 100 in 3-point shooting. On the other side, Iowa State’s league-best 40.3% shooting from beyond the arc should be negated by Kansas State’s 26% allowed from 3-point range in league play.

This play opposes the trend that the Over is 4-0 in Kansas State’s last four road games as well as Iowa State’s last four at home.

Bet: Kansas State-Iowa State UNDER 134.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

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