College Basketball Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Friday (3/3)

Mar 3, 2023 - 3:22 PM

Welcome to the Friday college basketball slate. Conference tournament games are in full swing as we have officially entered the best month of the year. Be sure to check out my bracketology article which I’ll continue updating as the tournament gets closer. There are some solid matchups today but remember not to force any bets you don’t love, there is still plenty of season left and we all want a big bankroll for the tournament.

Past Week: 6-7
This Season: 101-114-8

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Best College Basketball Bets for Friday

Here are my best bets for Friday.

New Mexico vs. Colorado State

New Mexico has completely fallen from grace, losing six of their most recent eight games with only two mediocre wins. If they have any hope of reaching the NCAA Tournament as an at-large, they must win tonight.

But Colorado State is no pushover. Colorado State has some of the best interior scoring in the league, ranking 13th shooting inside the arc. New Mexico’s 100th-ranked defense is solid at defending the perimeter but ranks outside the top 200 in interior defense.

On the other side, the Aggies 20th ranked offense might face a bit more problems than expected. Colorado State does not allow much inside, exactly where New Mexico heavily prefers to shoot the rock. Their ability to stay out of foul trouble will give the Aggies some problems.

New Mexico already dominated Colorado State earlier this year. But these are two different teams now, and I’m comfortable trusting home-court advantage.

Play: Colorado State +2.5 (-120 at BetMGM)

Toledo vs. Ball State

How can I not write about two of the top four MAC teams going at it on a Friday night? Seriously though, don’t sleep on the MAC.

To spoil this pick early, I’m taking the over. Toledo has been magnificent of late, with the third-ranked momentum metric in all of DI basketball right now. They boast a top-10 offense in the nation with a top-60 pace that should be electric to watch in the tournament if they can secure the auto-bid.

I’ve seen some books have this line set at 159.5 while KenPom projects it out at 164. I’m not the only one who thinks they will go over the point total tonight. Both teams rank outside the top 200 in defense and these offenses line up well for a lot of scoring to be had.

This should be a fantastic game tonight.

Play: Over 158.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

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Be sure to follow me @rcoleman98 on the BettingPros app, as I post all my selections there that may not make it in these articles. Remember to monitor injury news because if you can beat the curve, there is plenty of value to be had on any given game day.

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