Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis: 2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections

Mar 17, 2023 - 5:25 PM

March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.

I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.

Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market.

• 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
• 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
• 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
• 2023: 89-67, +19.4 units (Through Thursday Round 1)

2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis

---

Florida Atlantic Player Prop Bet Projections

Player	PTs	REBs	ASTs	PTs + REBs	PTs + ASTs	PRAs	3Ps	FTs
Johnell Davis	14.5	6.4	1.6	20.9	16.1	22.5	1.5	3.4
Alijah Martin	13.4	6.3	1.6	19.6	15.0	21.2	2.2	2.8
Vladislav Goldin	10.5	7.2	0.5	17.7	10.9	18.2	0.0	2.6
Nick Boyd	8.9	4.6	2.5	13.6	11.4	16.1	1.9	0.9
Michael Forrest	6.3	2.0	1.3	8.3	7.6	9.6	1.2	0.9
Bryan Greenlee	6.5	2.6	2.1	9.1	8.5	11.1	1.3	0.8
Giancarlo Rosado	6.3	4.7	1.6	11.0	7.9	12.6	0.0	1.8
Brandon Weatherspoon	4.9	2.2	0.7	7.1	5.6	7.9	1.1	0.5
Jalen Gaffney	4.3	2.6	2.4	6.9	6.7	9.3	0.9	0.7
Tre Carroll	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Isaiah Gaines	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Brenen Lorient	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Alejandro Ralat	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Memphis Player Prop Bet Projections

Player	PTs	REBs	ASTs	PTs + REBs	PTs + ASTs	PRAs	3Ps	FTs
Kendric Davis	23.0	4.0	3.5	27.1	26.6	30.6	2.1	6.1
Deandre Williams	18.2	8.5	1.8	26.7	20.0	28.4	0.9	2.9
Elijah McCadden	8.4	4.8	1.0	13.2	9.4	14.2	0.3	1.5
Keonte Kennedy	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Chandler Lawson	5.6	5.3	0.5	10.9	6.1	11.4	0.2	0.9
Alex Lomax	5.8	2.8	1.7	8.6	7.5	10.3	0.4	1.0
Jayden Hardaway	4.2	0.8	0.3	5.0	4.4	5.2	0.7	0.5
Damaria Franklin	4.7	3.0	0.4	7.7	5.1	8.1	0.5	0.4
Malcolm Dandridge	5.3	3.4	0.2	8.7	5.5	8.9	0.0	1.2
Johnathan Lawson	1.5	0.6	0.3	2.1	1.8	2.4	0.3	0.1
Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.6	0.4	0.6	0.0	0.1
Ian Granja	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Conor Glennon	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis Player Prop Bet Picks

All betting odds are from:

The post Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis: 2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections appeared first on BettingPros.