College Football Week 7 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Marshall (2022)

Oct 12, 2022 - 3:56 PM

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 7 odds, picks, and predictions for Wednesday’s game: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Marshall.

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 7 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 7 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Marshall

The college football week starts early with a Wednesday night Sun Belt matchup between Louisiana and Marshall. Louisiana has started slowly in conference play after winning the title in 2021. The offense dropped off from last year and sits at 97th in SP+ rankings. They’ve been below average both running (83rd in run EPA) and passing (87th in pass EPA) the ball, and it’s shown, only putting up 18.3 points per game in their three losses.

The defense, however, has not missed a step. Coming in at 34th in SP+, they’ve kept the Ragin’ Cajuns in these games, holding their opponents to just 20.5 points per game in Sun Belt play. They should be able to contain a Marshall offense that struggled to move the ball in their only other conference matchup with Troy.

The Marshall defense grades out very similarly to Louisiana, 42nd in SP+, but they’ve been fortunate to force six turnovers in their three games with FBS opponents.

This should be a low-scoring affair on Wednesday night in Huntington, and the numbers suggest these teams are a lot closer than the current line suggests. With a huge edge on Louisiana, they’re worth backing to pull off the upset against a Marshall team that has looked pedestrian outside of an upset win over Notre Dame.

Pick: Louisiana ML (+310)

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