College Football Week 7 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Toledo vs. Kent State (2022)

Oct 13, 2022 - 4:06 PM

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 7 odds, picks, and predictions for Saturday’s game: Toledo vs. Kent State.

Check out our other College Football game previews for Week 7:

• Auburn vs. Ole Miss
• Maryland vs. Indiana
• LSU vs. Florida
• Clemson vs. Florida State
• Stanford vs. Notre Dame
• Alabama vs. Tennessee
• Penn State vs. Michigan
• USC vs. Utah
• Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois
• Kansas vs. Oklahoma
• Syracuse vs. North Carolina State
• North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech
• California vs. Colorado
• Arkansas vs. BYU
• Arizona vs. Washington
• Nevada vs. Hawaii
• UTSA vs. FIU
• James Madison vs. Georgia Southern
• Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee State

And here are our top picks of the weekend:

• Thor Nystrom’s Best College Football Week 7 Bets
• Bogman’s College Football Week 7 Best Bets & Predictions
• College Football Week 7 Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Under-the-Radar Plays

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 7 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 7 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Toledo vs. Kent State

The spread feels short to me and my system. So much so that it’s curious. Then again, we had a similar thing last week with Kent State favored by nearly a TD at Miami (OH) when my system favored Miami… and the Redhawks won outright.

Toledo has a solid defense that is awesome against the run (No. 13 success rate). Kent State will be incentivized to pass. The Golden Flashes are very good at connecting on explosive passes (No. 28), but Toledo is also good at taking those away (No. 13). But through sheer volume, Kent State should run into a few big plays.

On the other side of the ball, Kent State’s pass defense is one of the worst in the nation – Toledo should be able to do whatever it wants through the air. Toledo’s rushing attack isn’t efficient, but it’s explosive. And Kent State is regularly shredded for long ground gains (No. 114 rushing explosiveness). Toledo should score often, and quickly.

Toledo is the objectively stronger team – I have preseason tickets on the Rockets going over their win total and winning the MAC – in a hyper-paced game that’s heavily skewed towards the pass.

To the point about pace… this is the only game of the week between two teams that both rank in the top-25 in adjusted pace. My system says we’re getting over a touchdown of value on the over.

I like the Rockets by double-digits in a shootout.

Pick: Toledo -7.5 | OVER 61.5

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

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