College Football Week 10 Picks & Predictions: Arizona vs. Utah (2022)

Nov 3, 2022 - 3:34 PM

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 10 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Arizona vs. Utah.

And check out our other College Football Week 10 game previews and picks:

• Tennessee vs. Georgia
• Oklahoma State vs. Kansas
• Air Force vs. Army
• Ohio State vs. Northwestern
• Florida vs. Texas A&M
• Alabama vs. LSU
• Clemson vs. Notre Dame
• California vs. USC
• Penn State vs. Indiana
• Illinois vs. Michigan State
• UTSA vs. UAB
• James Madison vs. Louisville
• Maryland vs. Wisconsin
• Western Kentucky vs. Charlotte
• UNLV vs. San Diego State

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 10 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 10 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Arizona vs. Utah

This one might look surprising, but two things are pushing me towards the under in this game. The first one is the massive amount of injuries that Utah has been hit with on offense. Starting QB Cam Rising missed last week, and apparently, the coaching staff didn’t know until 30 minutes before kickoff that he didn’t feel healthy enough to go. Backup QB Bryson Barnes performed admirably for the Utes in the 21-17 win over Washington State, but that was the lowest total of the season for Utah, the only performance under 32 points since the Week 1 loss to Florida. RB Tavion Thomas also didn’t play against Washington State, and backup RB Micah Bernard only saw three carries after getting banged up the previous week.

The Utes also went from one of the best TE duos in the country to start the season with Brant Kuithe (OFS with a knee injury) and Dalton Kincaid down to the third-string TE after Kincaid went down on the winning TE catch against Washington State. Kincaid missing might be the most significant piece as HC Kyle Whittington spoke to ‘tweaking’ the offense and making the WRs more prevalent should the starting TE miss this game. I expect Cam Rising to play, but I doubt he’ll be at 100%. Whittington gave no update on the RBs, so I don’t know who to expect there, but my guess would be a combo of Bernard and Freshman Jaylon Glover, who had 20 carries last week. Utah is a good team, and Arizona gives up a lot of points, but these are a lot of injuries for any offense to deal with all at the same time.

Arizona has been unbelievably impressive in the passing game so far this season, ranking third behind only Tennessee and Washington in passing yards per game. QB Jayden de Laura is fourth in the country in passing yards, sixth in passing TDs, and top 40 in QB rating. WR Jacob Cowing is top 10 in receiving yards, and fellow WR Dorian Singer is top 15. My issue with Arizona is that while they are a great passing team, they are a little one-dimensional as they rank 85th in rushing, and Utah has a strong pass defense. Utah grades out as a top-25 pass defense, according to PFF. The only team that has gone over 300 passing yards against them all season is USC. Utah is allowing an average of 209 yards per game (185 PG if we took away the USC game) and has allowed only 12 TDs, and has 10 INTs. Arizona has gone under 300 yards passing only twice against P5 teams this year, and they were both losses and happen to be the two lowest totals they have had this season (17 points with 276 passing yards against Miss State and 22 points with 241 passing yards against Oregon). I think we get something similar this week against a banged-up Utah team that will have a tough time scoring. Arizona did not beat the spread against Miss State or Oregon, but I think with Utah being less than 100% offensively should they be up late, they will probably put backups in late to preserve the starters. Arizona is no longer a team that will get drummed out of many games, so I see this one somewhere in the neighborhood of 35-24 in Utah’s favor, and that would hit both Arizona plus the points and keep our under!

Arizona (+18.5) AND UNDER 68.5

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