College Football Week 10 Picks & Predictions: UNLV vs. San Diego State (2022)

Nov 3, 2022 - 3:55 PM

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 10 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: UNLV vs. San Diego State.

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College Football Week 10 Odds, Picks & Prediction: UNLV vs. San Diego State

To say SDSU’s offense has been anemic would be putting it lightly. They’ve struggled to move the ball against almost every FBS team they’ve faced. Their 2-2 Mountain West record is deceiving as the two wins come against Hawaii and Nevada, perhaps two of the worst teams in the country. Additionally, in conference play, they’ve scored just 17.5 points per contest.

UNLV comes into town 2-2 in conference themselves and has plenty to play for. The Runnin’ Rebels are 4-4 on the season and just two wins away from becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2013.

UNLV has put together one of the most surprisingly effective running attacks, ranking third in run offense EPA behind only Oregon and USC. This is the best run EPA offense SDSU has played since Hawaii, who broke a few explosive runs and averaged 6.1 yards per carry. UNLV should have similar success on the ground.

The Rebel defense has been suspect, ranking 110th in SP+ defense, but this may not matter against an SDSU offensive attack that struggled to light up the scoreboard against defenses that are rated worse in Hawaii and Nevada.

The Rebels will be running on this Aztec defense, and if they’re able to find the endzone a few times, it will be too much for an SDSU offense that isn’t built to keep up with that. As a team fighting for their first bowl game in quite some time, they’ll come out here with a lot of pride and an upset on their mind.

Pick: UNLV ML (+215)

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