College Football Week 12 Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

Nov 18, 2022 - 2:42 PM

We have a couple of big games to feature, as they have huge conference championship implications. One matchup with have a team on a losing streak trying to save their season, but they’ll have to do by getting a huge upset. The other has both vying for the chance to get into their conference championship, with a win setting themselves up to do so.

(All rankings according to the CFB Playoff Committee)

(All odds via FanDuel)

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 12 College Football Power Rankings >>

Illinois vs. #3 Michigan

• Leg 1: Illinois +17.5 (-110)
• Leg 2: Under 41.5 total points (-115)
• Leg 3: Chase Brown 111.5 rushing yards (-114)

Illinois looked like they had the Big Ten West wrapped up, but after two straight losses, they are tied with Iowa and Purdue, so they might need the next two games to get to the conference championship.

Fighting Illini RB Chase Brown, at 144.2 rushing yards per game, is one of the better running backs in the Big Ten, and with 28 carries per game, they like to move the offense through him. This will be a strength vs. strength matchup with the Wolverines’ No. 1 rushing defense that will set their game plan to stop Brown.

On the other side, the Wolverines have Blake Corum, who comes in with 17 rushing touchdowns. Illinois has also been excellent at stopping the run, being seventh in rushing yards allowed and just five touchdowns.

Each team plays a similar game, but the Wolverines have a much better roster. This could come down to which quarterback makes a play, but Tommy Devito and JJ McCarthy aren’t much different.

I trust Michigan to make a couple of defining plays to pull it out in the end, but Illinois is not losing by two scores.

Parlay Odds: +535 via FanDuel

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#1 Georgia vs. Kentucky

• Leg 1: Georgia -22.5 (-110)
• Leg 2: Stetson Bennett over 278.5 passing yards (-114)
• Leg 3: Darnell Washington anytime scorer (+200)

Georgia is the clear No. 1, and they’re playing fine-tuned football with wins of over 20 points in four of their last five.

Stetson Bennett has taken all of the doubt that he couldn’t replicate last season and has improved his completion percentage to 67.5 and is seventh in QBR.

Kentucky has been good against the pass this season and is No 2. in the SEC, but South Carolina is four, Auburn is six, and Bennett threw for 492 passing yards and two touchdown total against those teams. 

The problem for the Wildcats will be that the Bulldogs have two of the better tight ends in the country. No one has had an answer for Darnell Washington and Brock Bowers all year.

Kentucky has come up empty in most of their big games and is 1-4 against ranked opponents this year. Will Levis is still injured, which is clearly affecting his performance.

Every Kentucky has been different — they’ve lost in the turnover battle, not making big stops, and the offense has not been able to make big plays.

The Kentucky offensive line has struggled all season, and the Georgia line should shut them down. The Bulldogs should get up big, and even if they slow down in the second half, Kentucky is good enough to take advantage of it.

Parlay Odds: +705 via FanDuel

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#10 Utah vs. #12 Oregon

• Leg 1: Utah -2.5 (-115)
• Leg 2: Cam Rising over 257.5 passing yards (-114)
• Leg 3: Dalton Kincaid  anytime scorer (-115)

This game between Utah and Oregon has a lot on the line. The winner controls their own destiny to the Pac-12 championship game while the loser’s dreams are dashed.

In college football, it’s hard to take stock of a previous season’s results, especially with the massive changeover from Oregon. Still, for the returning Ducks, the two beatdowns they received from Utah the previous season have to be on their mind.

Utah is a tough and physical football that wants to win in the trenches, and they will use the ground game to establish the offense. It’s strength vs. strength with Utah’s 20th-rank rushing offense and Oregon’s 17th-rushing defense. The Ducks need to keep Tavion Thomas in check because we’ve seen the Oregon frontline play on skates against Georgia and Washington, and those ended in losses.

Cam Rising should be able the move the ball against the fourth-worse passing defense in the FBS. He’s just behind Michael Pennix Jr. and better than Dorian Thompson-Robinson in passer efficiency, so this could be a situation where he needs to make some crucial plays.

The question for Oregon is, who will be on the playing field this Saturday? Bo Nix suffered an injury during the loss to Washington and returned, but offensive linemen Ryan Walk and Eric Forsyth left and didn’t return. Not having Nix at 100% or at all and possibly two linemen would be tough against an opponent that leads the Pac-12 in total, third-down, and fourth-down defense.

I would have taken Utah regardless of any player’s status. They have the players to keep Oregon from long drives and move the ball in the air or ground.

Parlay Odds: +483 via FanDuel

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